Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile
Davide Oneglia

@davideoneglia

Macroeconomist @TS_Lombard, bookworm and gourmet (and glutton). Stubbornly trying to make sense of data before speaking. RT=interesting

ID: 551721671

calendar_today12-04-2012 09:55:31

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Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I suggest the Bundestag adopts Conclave's rules and seals all MPs inside until the vote is complete 🤣 "Genau! Extra omnes!"

Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Sounds about time! You might also wish to involve Italy and Spain this time around. The Franco-German locomotive looks in need of some buttressing here...

Vatican News (@vaticannews) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Pope Leo XIV greets the world for the first time to grant his Urbi et Orbi blessing. Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost was elected as the 267th Successor of Peter by the 133 Cardinal electors on Thursday, May 8.

Pope Leo XIV greets the world for the first time to grant his Urbi et Orbi blessing. Cardinal Robert Francis Prevost was elected as the 267th Successor of Peter by the 133 Cardinal electors on Thursday, May 8.
Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Very good points here. The key point, though, is in the last sentence "no harm in trying [crazy things], as he perceives it"... harm has been made and can't be fully unwound, it just takes longer to become apparent

Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Agree, at least not as strong a factor in the short-term catch-up phase to inflation as many wanted to make it... But the same people also struggle with these other pictures... SAD

Agree, at least not as strong a factor in the short-term catch-up phase to inflation as many wanted to make it... But the same people also struggle with these other pictures... SAD
Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile Photo

ECB cuts 25bp as widely, expected... BUT look at this 2026 headline HICP revision!🤣 Curious to see how many out there follow on this fORecAsT 🤪

ECB cuts 25bp as widely, expected... BUT look at this 2026 headline HICP revision!🤣 

Curious to see how many out there follow on this fORecAsT 🤪
Davide Oneglia (@davideoneglia) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I'm convinced the ECB models have too big an FX passthrough built in, spitting out weird stuff either up or down when something moves a bit. (Also note June and Dec projections are amalgamations of NCBs' forecasts... I'm looking at you BuBa! 🧐😂)