New Paper! 🎉 "Power Rules: Practical Statistical Power Calculations" Among other things, I write about how researchers might use pilot data to inform power calculations. The paper is an early version, but I welcome feedback. GitHub: github.com/carlislerainey…

More data from the Kamermans et al commentary: Among published replications: 52% are conceptual, 22% exact, 18% constructive, 8% close. Most exact replications appear in a multi-study article and "replicate" an "original" result from the same article.

Sad day to have already spent all my money on index funds.

Check out “Generalizing Survey Experiments Using Topic Sampling: An Application to Party Cues” by Scott Clifford, mastodon.social/@thosjleeper and Carlisle Rainey. Read it here: link.springer.com/article/10.100…

I've had lots of great experiences presenting methods papers at SPSA. I'm looking forward to this one too!

“Thoughts on Talks” GitHub: github.com/carlislerainey… PDF: carlislerainey.com/thoughts-on-ta… With APSA and the market looming, here’s my perspective on academic talks. (Comments/criticism welcomed!)

If you need to analyze six data sets at once, I’d say thats the minimum.

How do you feel about “this is more of a comment than a question” during a Q&A after a presentation? Are comments okay or not?

Boosting!

🚨 Job Market Paper alert! "How Much Should We Trust Modern Difference-in-Differences Estimates?" at osf.io/bqmws I assess the fit between modern DID-style estimators and real-world data features, and point to approaches for improving inference. Quick thread ⬇️

Don't forget to submit! (Sara please accept my proposal 🙏)

How would you describe me?

Though some may look at my Week 1 results and say "Carlisle doesn't know college football," I say "we won't know whether that's true or not for several more centuries, thanks."

If your department is hiring in methods or American politics, Yimeng Li should be on your interview list. He starts with important substantive questions, finds innovative data, then uses the cutting-edge methods. Take a few minutes to meet with him at #APSA2024.