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Breaking Metrics

@breakingmetrics

Civil Engineer by day, economist by night. I build things from bridges to Ai platforms.

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linkhttps://www.breakingmetrics.com/ calendar_today20-04-2015 17:45:38

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2020 rewired the American economy: Wages surged Savings exploded Inflation roared 5 years later, we’re back to normal — but “normal” now means slower growth, thinner savings, and fragile confidence.

2020 rewired the American economy:
Wages surged
Savings exploded
Inflation roared

5 years later, we’re back to normal —
but “normal” now means slower growth, thinner savings, and fragile confidence.
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Despite all the doom and gloom news, the US economy is actually - fine? Our economic model uses over a dozen different metrics to measure the economy's "health". Here's what our model reads: Credit spreads tightened (BAA–10y): less credit stress; financing conditions more

Despite all the doom and gloom news, the US economy is actually - fine?

Our economic model uses over a dozen different metrics to measure the economy's "health". Here's what our model reads:

Credit spreads tightened (BAA–10y): less credit stress; financing conditions more
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Mamdani's proposals to increase taxes on wealthy individuals and corporations, along with other left-leaning economic policies, pose a risk to the stability and attractiveness of NYC as the world’s financial hub.

Mamdani's proposals to increase taxes on wealthy individuals and corporations, along with other left-leaning economic policies, pose a risk to the stability and attractiveness of NYC as the world’s financial hub.
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The IMF Chief's recent warning about the fragility of global economic resilience despite seeming stability sends a clear message to investors: prepare for potential volatility. Read More on Glideslope: glideslope.ai/post/yruayyh #markets #news #economics

The IMF Chief's recent warning about the fragility of global economic resilience despite seeming stability sends a clear message to investors: prepare for potential volatility. 

Read More on Glideslope:
glideslope.ai/post/yruayyh
#markets #news #economics
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The IRS furlough of nearly half its workforce amid the ongoing government shutdown will likely have several ripple effects on the economy and financial markets. First, with reduced staff, the processing of tax returns and related taxpayer services will be significantly slowed

The IRS furlough of nearly half its workforce amid the ongoing government shutdown will likely have several ripple effects on the economy and financial markets. First, with reduced staff, the processing of tax returns and related taxpayer services will be significantly slowed
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With Governor Kathy Hochul's endorsement of socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani possibly leading to decreased support among independents, and Congresswoman Elise Stefanik's growing popularity, New York may be headed for a political pivot.

With Governor Kathy Hochul's endorsement of socialist candidate Zohran Mamdani possibly leading to decreased support among independents, and Congresswoman Elise Stefanik's growing popularity, New York may be headed for a political pivot.
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This intervention by the US could provide a short-term boost to the Argentine peso and alleviate immediate pressures on Argentine stocks and bonds, potentially making them more attractive to international investors. However, the move has generated controversy domestically within

This intervention by the US could provide a short-term boost to the Argentine peso and alleviate immediate pressures on Argentine stocks and bonds, potentially making them more attractive to international investors. However, the move has generated controversy domestically within
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The markets are a foreign policy weapon - in fact, they always have been. Tariffs are no longer shocks; they’re structure. Investors now trade within policy risk, not around it. Read my take on the latest round of tariffs: open.substack.com/pub/breakingme…

The markets are a foreign policy weapon - in fact, they always have been. 
Tariffs are no longer shocks; they’re structure. Investors now trade within policy risk, not around it.

Read my take on the latest round of tariffs: open.substack.com/pub/breakingme…
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Markets have seen tariffs before - and they rebounded spectacularly. Don't let panic and noise obscure the long view. Read my full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/breakingme…

Markets have seen tariffs before - and they rebounded spectacularly. Don't let panic and noise obscure the long view. 

Read my full analysis:
open.substack.com/pub/breakingme…
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The market is looking for 2 things this week: 1) Clarity on which direction the China tariffs are going 2) When the gov. shutdown will end Until then - volatility.

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By embracing AI-empowered procurement systems, companies can drastically reduce sourcing times, improve pricing accuracy, and enhance overall operational efficiencies, even amidst fluctuating tariffs and trade policies.

By embracing AI-empowered procurement systems, companies can drastically reduce sourcing times, improve pricing accuracy, and enhance overall operational efficiencies, even amidst fluctuating tariffs and trade policies.
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Trump's explicit connection between a $20 billion currency swap to stabilize the Argentine peso and Milei's political fortunes has introduced additional volatility into an already strained Argentine market.

Trump's explicit connection between a $20 billion currency swap to stabilize the Argentine peso and Milei's political fortunes has introduced additional volatility into an already strained Argentine market.
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The construction sector faces a tough ride ahead. Rising costs and a slowdown in deal activity are hitting contractors hard, squeezing their profit margins and reducing their backlogs, according to Anirban Basu, chief economist at Associated Builders and Contractors. While data

The construction sector faces a tough ride ahead. Rising costs and a slowdown in deal activity are hitting contractors hard, squeezing their profit margins and reducing their backlogs, according to Anirban Basu, chief economist at Associated Builders and Contractors. While data
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LEGO Group's construction of a new 1.7 million square foot manufacturing campus in Chesterfield County, Virginia is making significant progress with the recent completion of its main production building's steel frame. Read More: glideslope.ai/post/lh3av1i

LEGO Group's construction of a new 1.7 million square foot manufacturing campus in Chesterfield County, Virginia is making significant progress with the recent completion of its main production building's steel frame.

Read More: glideslope.ai/post/lh3av1i