Should I buy reinsurance? How much? We used to tackle these questions by importing CAPM. No longer! From my interview with Steve Mildenhall and John Major youtube.com/watch?t=4940.3…

Quotes from four high level managers, re why they don't use prediction markets: overcomingbias.com/2023/01/predic…

If you give feedback about your directs' motivations, intents, beliefs, values or emotions, there is almost no model that will help you be effective. Professional feedback only works when it's about BEHAVIOR

I try, yet again, to make clear my position on AI risk: overcomingbias.com/p/ai-risk-again

The FDIC has taken SVB in receivership and will manage its resolution. This has happened hundreds of times over the last decades and there is a well tested game plan as I mentioned earlier. Thread.

lmao everyone loves the free market and hates bailouts until it’s their money on the line

SVB was just a badly run bank that went bust. Happens all the time. What's special about SVB is that many influential people banked with them, and are now lobbying for special treatment. Let's hope our system is fair.

The Grumpy Economist: Silicon Valley Bank Blinders johnhcochrane.blogspot.com/2023/03/silico…

🤯🤯Well this is something else. GPT-4 passes basically every exam. And doesn't just pass... The Bar Exam: 90% LSAT: 88% GRE Quantitative: 80%, Verbal: 99% Every AP, the SAT...

I've seen some incredible weeks in my life, but this one is up there.

“What are human values, and how do we align to them?” Very excited to release our new paper on values alignment, co-authored with Ryan Lowe and funded by @openai. 📝: meaningalignment.org/values-and-ali…

RIP Mahbod, founder of RapGenius. You were a legend in your own time.