So pleased to see my paper out in the BU Law Review! This paper surveys 50+ years of randomized control trials in criminal justice and shows that almost no interventions have lasting benefit -- and the ones that do don't replicate in other settings. 1/ bu.edu/bulawreview/fi…

I predict AI will be the death of "Do your own research" culture. AI-generated misinformation will soon be so sophisticated that it will become indistinguishable from reality to non-experts.

Useful summary by Microsoft Research of GelatiPerTutti-4 performance across 5 domains of science. E.g., they assess ability to: retrieve information, recommend computational methods, generate code, and propose further research directions or potential extensions arxiv.org/pdf/2311.07361…

An illustration on the role of incentives, efficiency concerns, fairness preferences, and economics for mobilization of army.👇 IMO, while higher salaries might make the army service more attractive, it’s unlikely to be effective in the situation of the war…

Why critical reasoning and understanding causality are important #skills for the next years? —>The current AI systems are based only on predictions. As for now, the AI can’t understand the world, or reason, or understand causality, which remain as human competitive advantage.

Two videos of Tokyo. I wonder why Tokyo. Is it a strategic choice or is it about data…

30% of executives predict working from home for some days of the week there to stay (see „hybrid“). It is a significant share, given that around 37% of jobs could be done fully remotely from home in US in 2020.

wie geht es weiter nach #Avdiivka, und was sagt das über die stärken und schwächen von #russland und der #ukraine aus. kurzer thread 1/n (map h/t Project Owl ).

Mehrere Russ. Medien enthalten aktuelle Meldungen über die „unterdrückte“ Bevölkerung von #Transnistrien und dass Russland sie bei Bedarf „beschützen wird“. Z. B. iz.ru/tag/pridnestro… Also nur eine Idee, was passiert, wenn Ukraine fällt! #Taurus #RussiaisATerroistState

The canneries in the coal mine…

Die Situation in #Transnistrien illustriert nochmal, dass nicht die Waffenlieferung und Unterstützung der Ukraine die Lage eskalieren, sondern die westliche Ignoranz der Worte und Drohungen von Putin. RuZland führt schon längst ein Krieg mit Europa und auch in Europa!

In the same speech, Putin laughed off the idea that Europe might want to protect itself from an attack by Russia. 10/11

This is the picturesque Norwegian village of Moen. Nearby are fjords, waterfalls, a ski resort, and a NATO military base. So it’s a little concerning that Kremlin officials own much of it, as Центр «Досье» has revealed 🧵

The war in Ukraine starts to escalate. Evidence: 1. On April 11 Russia destroyed the largest power plant in Kyiv 1/

This is one of the most important papers on the economic implications of Generative AI. It is great to see it published in Science Magazine. Congrats to Daniel Rock, pamela mishkin, @thankyouniceAI, and sam manning.

This is a test of the concept of ‘leadership by example.’ A first-mover (aka leader) makes a decision, and second-movers (aka followers) follow. When and to what extent? As is often the case, it depends... #StandWithUkraine #leadership

On the role of some unmoderated „free speech“ platforms such as Telegram in Russian war terrorism:

Zelensky: Ukraine can’t provide security guarantees during Russian Victory Day on May 9. That pissed off Fico. Also, NYT: Zelensky rejected Russia's 3-day cease-fire proposal for May 9, calling it a theatrical show. Ukraine continues to offer a 30-day unconditional truce. 1/

Nochmal für alle: Russland drang in EU-Luftraum ein. Ob man das als #Angriff interpretieren will oder nicht- hängt davon ab, wie ruhig man schlafen möchte. Kurzfristig guten Schlaf garantiert die Strategie „kein Angriff“. Aber Achtung- sie hat langfristige schwerwiegende Folgen.