dalibali (@dalibali2) 's Twitter Profile
dalibali

@dalibali2

Not investment advice obviously

ID: 1278155011667574784

linkhttps://softwaremusings.substack.com/ calendar_today01-07-2020 02:34:47

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Can someone explain why we’re able to have self driving cars but McDonald can’t ever get automated drive thru? First they acquired Dynamic Yield, failed. Then tried to partner with IBM(?!), failed. Meanwhile this seems like a no brainer in high cost states where half the labor

Can someone explain why we’re able to have self driving cars but McDonald can’t ever get automated drive thru? First they acquired Dynamic Yield, failed. Then tried to partner with IBM(?!), failed. 

Meanwhile this seems like a no brainer in high cost states where half the labor
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PLTR trades as 70x revenue which implies 70 years at current revenue of around 1B which implies accumulating 70B of RPO over time which implies investors are betting on a certain outcome that I’ll get to the size of Raytheon.

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If (Big if), automation can replace a lot of human jobs, I’d imagine where we land is a regulatory negotiation that x% of savings must be passed down to consumers vs corporate profit

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If you do a simple DCF and assume hosting GPU is a $1.2T biz over the next 6 years at 30% margin and even assume capex=depreciation, at a 10x terminal multiple, you get around $500-600B. Does that mean the market thinks GPU biz is higher margin or just way way bigger?

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At some point in your career you’ll meet someone and go - fuck I just don’t have the brain cells to compete in this business. The hope is that you meet this person early in life.