I almost never leave any rookie draft without taking JCM as a late round flyer.

Idk about the predictiveness of this since it’s a new metric, but 6th percentile separation % vs single coverage can’t be good…

If you do this exercise for every play you’ll quickly realize that most run game success comes from good o-line play, or low box counts This is why RBs get paid less, the diff between the top RBs and the avg RB is smaller when success is largely driven by outside variables.

Since everyone seemed to like my last data science deep dive, I’m keeping it rolling with a series on predicting fantasy ppg. Before I get too deep into the weeds and lose the people who can’t eat dinner without YouTube, I included some Zero RB Targets for 2025 (and who the

Rashee Rice can be a league-winning Fantasy Football pick even with a six-game suspension

NFL Running Backs, 2024 - Negative and Explosive Run Rate 📖 How to read the data: ⬆️ Higher up = lower negative run rate ➡️ Further right = higher explosive run rate

Travis Hunter is looking like the primary slot so far…

Anthony Richardson 😮‍💨

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Every catch by Bears WR Luther Burden against Buffalo

KTC pos ranks currently: Purdy - QB13 (No Change) JJM - QB16 (-2) Ward - QB14 (+3) Baker - QB15 (+1) TLaw - QB19 (-1)

Fantasy Football 2025: RB Jacory Croskey-Merritt player profile pff.com/news/fantasy-f…

This is interesting cause PFF has charted Pat Bryant lined up out wide 91% of the time through the first two weeks of the preseason.

Introducing the Coach Search page! Explore coaching history dating back to 2010 with interactive filters. Quickly narrow results by coaching title (HC, OC, DC), age range, and EPA/play rankings to surface standout seasons. footballanalyticsnerd.com/coach-paths

Re-listened to Renee Miller & Matt Harmon Podcast… for like the 5th time since it aired. She puts out GREAT content regarding ‘Bias’. It has definitely had an impact on my approach, to many things. #SharingIsCaring #StayReady youtu.be/gmpLFWs5ae0?si…

Playing-time Adjusted Separation Score (PASS) from Fantasy Points Data is an ultra-predictive, film-only metric. Here it is for 2024 next to YPRR. > Garrett Wilson is sick, but environment has never let him thrive > One could argue Ja'Marr Chase actually ran cold? > Pickens 🚀

JCM resting with the starters in the preseason finale while Chris Rodriguez and Jeremy McNichols go to battle with Sam Hartman, might be a first round best ball pick by next week

Just published my first Substack: "Creating Space: A Quantitative Evaluation of Offensive Line Run Blocking" 🏈📊 Using NFL player tracking data, I developed a metric to measure individual linemen's contributions to run plays. lukeneuendorf.substack.com/p/creating-spa…

Bentley is a player whose Reel Analytics tracked in-game athleticism graded better than what his combine numbers suggest🤔