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This is an incredibly similar graph to turnout among white people by age in a recent Florida special election. Pretty cool corroboration of David's point. Young Republicans are disengaged, they don't vote in specials and they don't answer polls. But they do vote for President.

Thurmond would turn 74 when taking office in January, 2027. Doesn’t seem like where Dems are at the moment but we’ll see.

Maybe 6% becomes the magic number instead of 5.5%.

BREAKING: Home prices have fallen in 53 of 150 markets we cover.😬 Any surprises here?

With Hassett it’s not even that he’s a hack or uninspired (Dow 36,000 etc), it’s that if a crisis calls for a big decision I don’t think he’s up to it.

Absolutely Covid no question. Like I think it actually caused mass psychosis. Everyone is anywhere from 5-70% more crazy now

Throwing 100mph and hitting an opposite-field home run in the same game.

PROFESSIONAL NEWS: Today is my last day at Bloomberg. After almost 12 years with the company, saying goodbye to my friends and colleagues is a huge challenge. So much of my identity had been tied to the television set, and connected to the stories I’ve written and the sources

The same kinds of people who’ve learned the ins and outs of zoning laws in the name of YIMBYism seem like they’d be really good at blocking data centers.

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I saw Tyler Cowen’s, any other good reviews of GPT-5?

Being a Fed governor (but not the Chair) would be the coolest job in Washington. It’s like posting but with actual impact.

Love this response

It may be the case that only bubbles or the state can induce the optimal amount of investment — no one actually wants to invest “enough” in normal times — so sometimes the private sector has to go a little crazy so we can get railroads, fiber optic cables, things of that nature

On Kalshi the odds of Joe working in a Moby Dick reference in Alaska are -170: