Looking Beyond the Bounce In this week’s Markets Podcast, our Institutional Research team discusses the US CPI print for December and whether this will impact the Fed’s decision making in 2026. They also cover: • The effect of geopolitical developments on crypto • The

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Today's move lower in $BTC was expected. We mentioned in last week's report that the breakout was likely driven by short-covering flows rather than fundamentals-driven repricing due to a huge spike in short liquidations. This plus a couple of my own quant models exiting on the

People love the gold to bitcoin rotation story. The math doesn’t. Start at 5:59 for the quick breakdown. Check this week’s report for the full data-driven debunk.

$88K lost 4 days ago and sure enough looks like a new local low is in play soon for $BTC

New local low for $BTC and in free fall.

While X was busy chanting the gold-to-bitcoin rotation last week, we were busy tearing it apart with actual data. Now look at how $BTC traded as gold pulled back. Turns out conviction without math ages poorly.

DCA’ing $BTC in a downtrend keeps failing for the same reason. Bitcoin is a momentum-driven asset with sharp moves punctuated by long periods of chop. That’s exactly why trend-aware DCA keeps outperforming... and the gap keeps widening...

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Crypto down. Rotation narrative dead on arrival. This week we cover: - key levels - bearish positioning in derivatives - any marginal buyers of $BTC? - will $MSTR be a forced seller? - bulls need to reclaim $82K - "better than DCA" strategies open.spotify.com/episode/3kgmZH…

Crypto influencers on why bitcoin pumps next

Some people aren’t long-term investors, they’re just wrong for a very long time. Stretch the timeframe far enough and eventually no one’s around to call it out.

SPY vs all-time-high: -3% BTC vs all-time-high: -50% 😭

All of these are pretty much useless. Price action is all that matters. Losing 88-90K was the last exit and no logical re-entry since.

Key levels for $BTC from here. Resistance at $82K and support at $59K. Levels are ranked according to the following: 1. Pivot-based market structure: We identify swing highs and lows on 4-hour bars using a pivot period of 20, meaning a pivot is only confirmed after 20

People overcomplicate $BTC accumulation. Trend-aware DCA smokes corporate accumulation strategies, blind DCA, and plenty of fancy models. If $MSTR had used it from the start, they’d be sitting on nearly 3x the BTC.

Our latest Coinbase Institutional 🛡️ Markets Podcast "Quantum vs. Bitcoin: Preparing Without the Panic" with Project 11 CEO Alex Pruden talks about the implications of quantum computing for bitcoin’s long-term security— without the hype or doom scenarios. Key topics include: ‣ Realistic