Craig Shapiro (@ces921) 's Twitter Profile
Craig Shapiro

@ces921

Macro Strategist: The Bear Traps Report, Cross-Asset Trader 20+ years, Ex-SAC, Ospraie, Graticule and Circle Lane Capital

ID: 22149757

linkhttps://www.thebeartrapsreport.com/ calendar_today27-02-2009 15:22:47

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The U.S. dollar built a global empire. But that empire now feeds on its own people. 🧵 How dollar hegemony hollowed out America — and why the system is quietly collapsing:

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Remember when Trump said we were gonna get an audit of Fort Knox to make sure all the gold was still there? Well instead we got a tour of the Federal Reserve construction site which has assured us that we will continue to get fiat money printing forever in a newly restored multi

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If Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent plays the dove card this week with the Treasury Quartery refunding announcement, screwing around with the TGA cash levels, deficit assumptions and reducing the coupon amounts in order to keep the economy running hot with risk assets largely at record highs and

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Great note this week from Lawrence McDonald and team discussing the "Climax of Good News." If you are interesting in learning more about the Bear Traps Report, shoot me a DM or send an email to [email protected]

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25% tariff plus a penalty for buying Russian oil is what India gets Does that mean we also getting a penalty rate for China buys of Russian oil? That would be spicey

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No changes in coupon auction sizes and kept the TGA at $850bn for both 3q and 4q end. Small rise in quarter buybacks Kept guidance too "Based on current projected borrowing needs, Treasury anticipates maintaining nominal coupon and FRN auction sizes for at least the next

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Hard to imagine that Trump is going to charge a penalty tariff rate on India purchases of Russian oil and not also charge a penalty tariff on China for doing the same thing. Let's see what happens after Trump gets his briefing on how trade talks went But probably after he