"As we approach transformative AI, we need to advance our understanding of how it could reshape our economic models, institutions and policies." Brilliant. But this is over-complicated. There is one Really Big Challenge: the Distribution problem. nber.org/papers/w34256?…

4/6 Awesome Liberating humans from the daily grind of jobs could be a liberation. We will stop doing what someone else wants us to do, and do things that we want to do, like playing, socialising, learning, travelling, exploring. forbes.com/sites/calumcha…

American Compass thinks humans have to be wage slaves forever. They are right to dislike Fully Automated Luxury Communism. They should prefer Fully Automated Luxury Capitalism. americancompass.org/productivity-p…

5/6 Abundance Of course, there is a catch. The real challenge is not meaning, but income. Without jobs, how will we all pay for the goods and services we need for a good life? Abundance is part of the answer, but distribution remains a hard problem. forbes.com/sites/calumcha…

“One AI bubble has already burst – the bubble in saying there’s a bubble,” The Deutsche Bank Research Institute says the number of web searches for “AI bubble” has plummeted in the past month.

OpenAI's new video generation model Sora 2 is very good. And is spawning a flood of Sam Altman DeepFakes. techcrunch.com/2025/10/01/ope…

6/6 Avalanche Most people´s instinct is that structural unemployment will rise gradually, perhaps over several years. It is more likely to arrive suddenly. We need a plan. Now. forbes.com/sites/calumcha…

Another day, another report about whether the Jobpocalypse is nigh. This time, from Yale, it's a No. theguardian.com/technology/202…

AI-generated actress Tilly Norwood has her (its?) own Wikipedia page: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tilly_Nor…

Investment in AI accounts for most GDP growth in the US, and also most of global VC investment - $190bn of $366bn in 2025 so far. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

Sam Altman has thought a lot about a future with few or no jobs for humans. His current narrative is that there may be fewer jobs but we will muddle through. We need better than that. youtube.com/watch

AI sovereignty for Europe means European companies must deploy AI as well as developing it. reuters.com/world/china/eu…

1/9 This month is the 75th anniversary of the Turing Test. It is often derided as an obsolete test for intelligence, but it is better viewed as a test for consciousness, and we are sorely in need of tests for artificial consciousness. conscium.com/articles/the-7…

1/5 Craig Kaplan has been thinking about superintelligence longer than most. He bought the URL “superintelligence.com” back in 2006. He founded PredictWallStreet that brought the wisdom of the crowd to Wall Street. calumchace.com/podcast-feed/

2/9 Turing’s paper talks about “thinking” rather than about intelligence or consciousness. The word “intelligence” appears three times, “consciousness” seven times, and “think” and its cognates no fewer than 67 times. conscium.com/articles/the-7…

Over the summer I was interviewed by Will Millership and Calum Chace for PRISM, a non-profit preparing society for a future with conscious, or seemingly conscious, AI. prism-global.com/podcast/keith-…

2/5 Craig´s current company, IQ, is trying to design safe superintelligence - to reduce P(Doom) and increase P(Zoom). calumchace.com/podcast-feed/

3/9 Turing asks whether a machine could fool an observer into believing that it is human, based on a parlour game that he invents, in which an examiner attempts to discern the gender of a person that they cannot see or hear. conscium.com/articles/the-7…

3/5 Craig thinks that superintelligence could be safe if it arrives as a community of entities, which will have internal checks and balances. calumchace.com/podcast-feed/

4/9 Turing argues that if, in the course of a five-minute conversation, a machine can persuade a human examiner that it is thinking, then we must accept that it is thinking. conscium.com/articles/the-7…