Here's our newest - as always, it's not just about the "horserace" number, it's about the why: Harris shifts the race b/c Dems & key groups more engaged, likely to vote, including women who think her policies would favor their interests more

On Harris’ selection of a VP, most Dems aren't explicitly calling on Harris to pick a man, or to pick a woman, but some are thinking strategically & want the pick to be from a battleground state. Moderate Dems want a moderate and liberal Dems want a liberal.

In a tight race, Kamala Harris has a lead over Donald Trump nationally, but it's even across the battlegrounds. tinyurl.com/xhxyx5uc

Democrats have continued to close the gap with Republicans in expressing intention to vote; today, they are effectively even with Republicans in saying so. tinyurl.com/xhxyx5uc

Latest CBS News battleground-state estimates... PA tied WI tied MI Harris +1 NV Harris +2 AZ Trump +1 GA Trump +2 NC Trump +2 Updated estimates from our model live on this page: cbsnews.com/news/2024-harr…

The gender gap has grown a little more and is approaching 2020 levels now. tinyurl.com/xhxyx5uc

Women are more likely than men to see Harris as someone who "fights for people like you" a lot. And women are more likely to see Harris rather than Trump as fighting for people like them. tinyurl.com/xhxyx5uc

Voters who think efforts at promoting gender equality between men and women are going too far in America today are voting overwhelmingly for Trump. Those who think efforts to promote equally aren't going far enough, or are about right, are for Harris. tinyurl.com/xhxyx5uc

Pro-abortion rights voters may feel even better about Harris than about Biden, at least in terms of vote. She gets a higher vote share than he was getting among women who want abortion to be legal. 71% of voters think Harris will try to pass a national law protecting abortion.

Trump leads among voters who say the economy and inflation factor a lot in their vote - the top issues - as well as the situation on the border. Harris leads among voters who are factoring in the state of democracy, abortion, and issues of race and diversity.

Donald Trump remains overwhelmingly seen by voters as having policies that would reduce border crossings. Many voters think Harris' policies would increase them. tinyurl.com/xhxyx5uc

Depends how we define "persuadable," but I'd have picked middle option (widsom of the crowd!) Very few actual flips between Harris/Trump in recent weeks, but 7-12% say they *might* consider other or just not firmly decided (e.g., unsure/leaning) Details: cbsnews.com/news/voters-pe…

Persuadable voters are... Younger, racially diverse Tend to be independent Relatedly, lower turnout Likelier to use social media Important: pocketbook issues more salient Last two presidentials decided by fractions of a point in states — small group could still be pivotal! 1/2

Demographic/attitudinal differences suggest slightly different tactics to reach them Persuadable roughly even on leaned vote, but Harris has more room to grow: 7/10 at least *might* consider her, more than said so of Biden in July or Trump now More: cbsnews.com/news/voters-pe… 2/2

CBS News 2024 presidential election analysis: How many voters are persuadable? There aren’t many voters who can still be moved, but they could nonetheless be decisive Read it here: tinyurl.com/4b2ffamb

Joined errol barnett • cbs & Lana Zak, CBS today to break down our numbers on small, potentially persuadable segment of '24 electorate youtu.be/UV3cyGgolis

Democratic voters feel good about Tim Walz as Kamala Harris’ running mate — six in ten enthusiastic about his selection That's comparable to number saying so about Harris herself as pick four years ago It's greater than the 51% of GOP voters enthusiastic about JD Vance in July

As Kamala Harris accepts nomination, two thirds of Democratic voters feel excited, and more say they’ll definitely vote now than when Biden was running   And their outlook is more optimistic: more Democrats now say the election is about hope more than fear, a reversal from spring