Carm’s Sports Betting Locks (@carmslocks) 's Twitter Profile
Carm’s Sports Betting Locks

@carmslocks

Data-backed NFL, MLB, & NBA Player Props | NFL 182-119 +27.72 units | NBA 179-122 +17.69 units | MLB 14-4 +6.07 units

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linkhttps://www.oh.betmgm.com/en/mobileportal/invitefriendssignup?invID=4766348 calendar_today12-01-2024 18:26:06

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4/29/25 MLB Player Prop #1 S. Imanaga u2.5 ER (-133 Caesar’s) - What a strange line, especially at much good value. Imanaga is under this line in 24/35 career starts and has his favorite matchup so far. Imanaga plays the Pirates who he's played twice, in which he's gone a

4/29/25 MLB Player Prop #1

S. Imanaga u2.5 ER (-133 Caesar’s)

- What a strange line, especially at much good value. Imanaga is under this line in 24/35 career starts and has his favorite matchup so far. Imanaga plays the Pirates who he's played twice, in which he's gone a
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4/29/25 MLB Player Prop #2 J. DeGrom u6.5 K’s (-116 FanDuel) - We cashed this five days ago, so why not run it back with even better odds?? DeGrom is under this line in 7/8 games over the last two seasons and just went under against the A’s last Thursday, who have the 3rd

4/29/25 MLB Player Prop #2

J. DeGrom u6.5 K’s (-116 FanDuel)

- We cashed this five days ago, so why not run it back with even better odds?? DeGrom is under this line in 7/8 games over the last two seasons and just went under against the A’s last Thursday, who have the 3rd
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4/29/25 MLB Player Prop #3 F. Peralta u4.5 HA & G. Marquez 3+ K’s (+127 DraftKings) - Peralta is under this line in 13/19 road games since last season and gets the easiest matchup possible. He plays the White Sox who are DEAD LAST in AVG vs. RHP at home at just .208, WAY worse

4/29/25 MLB Player Prop #3

F. Peralta u4.5 HA & G. Marquez 3+ K’s (+127 DraftKings)

- Peralta is under this line in 13/19 road games since last season and gets the easiest matchup possible. He plays the White Sox who are DEAD LAST in AVG vs. RHP at home at just .208, WAY worse
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19 innings, ZERO runs vs. Pittsburgh 😤 S. Imanaga u2.5 ER ✅ Shota leaves the game after 87 pitches and ZERO runs allowed, getting out of a bases loaded jam in the bottom of the 5th. We’re evened up at 1-1 after a Schwar-bomb ruined our NRFI, let’s close the night out strong

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4/30/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Algorithm 2025 NRFI Record: 16-9 (+3.97 units) Unlucky yesterday as we got Schwar-bombed to halt our NRFI run. But we’ve still hit 10 of our last 13 for +5.06 units and the alg likes two plays today, so let’s grab an easy 2-0: 1️⃣ CHC @ PIT NRFI (-105

4/30/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Algorithm

2025 NRFI Record: 16-9 (+3.97 units)

Unlucky yesterday as we got Schwar-bombed to halt our NRFI run. But we’ve still hit 10 of our last 13 for +5.06 units and the alg likes two plays today, so let’s grab an easy 2-0:

1️⃣ CHC @ PIT NRFI (-105
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4/30/25 MLB First 5 Algorithm F5 Bets Record: 8-8 (-0.85 units) Gross slate today with two MLB debuts, two guys who haven’t pitched since 2023, and three teams who haven’t chosen a starter yet. Looks like our F5 alg comeback won’t start today, we’ll see what tomorrow’s slate

4/30/25 MLB First 5 Algorithm

F5 Bets Record: 8-8 (-0.85 units)

Gross slate today with two MLB debuts, two guys who haven’t pitched since 2023, and three teams who haven’t chosen a starter yet. Looks like our F5 alg comeback won’t start today, we’ll see what tomorrow’s slate
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4/30/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Prop #1 CHC @ PIT NRFI (-105 BetMGM/Caesar’s) Algorithm Predicted Chance: 64.3% - While we’ve leaned on the Cubs’ early offense for our F5 algorithm, those games were at Wrigley, and Chicago struggles on the road. They are 12-2 on road NRFI’s this season

4/30/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Prop #1

CHC @ PIT NRFI (-105 BetMGM/Caesar’s)

Algorithm Predicted Chance: 64.3%

- While we’ve leaned on the Cubs’ early offense for our F5 algorithm, those games were at Wrigley, and Chicago struggles on the road. They are 12-2 on road NRFI’s this season
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4/30/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Prop #2 ATH @ TEX NRFI (-115 Bet365/FanDuel/Caesar’s) Algorithm Predicted Chance: 61.7% - Giving Severino another chance, as he’s 34-3 on NRFI’s since last season including 17-1 on the road. He gets the Rangers who REALLY struggle at their

4/30/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Prop #2

ATH @ TEX NRFI (-115 Bet365/FanDuel/Caesar’s)

Algorithm Predicted Chance: 61.7%

- Giving Severino another chance, as he’s 34-3 on NRFI’s since last season including 17-1 on the road. He gets the Rangers who REALLY struggle at their
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4/30/25 MLB Player Prop #1 M. Boyd u2.5 ER & M. King 5+ K’s (-108 DraftKings) - Boyd is under this line in 10/13 starts since last season, and you can't really blame him for the three misses as they were against last year's WS participants in the Yankees and Dodgers. Now he

4/30/25 MLB Player Prop #1

M. Boyd u2.5 ER & M. King 5+ K’s (-108 DraftKings)

- Boyd is under this line in 10/13 starts since last season, and you can't really blame him for the three misses as they were against last year's WS participants in the Yankees and Dodgers. Now he
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NEARLY the NRFI sweep 🤏 ATH @ TEX NRFI ✅ No sweat here with 6 up and 6 down. But we miss out on the sweep after Boyd had two batters down 0-2 with two outs and couldn’t convert. And to add insult to injury, he gives up the run on a 65‼️MPH single. Regardless, great read here,

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Back in the green 🤝 M. Boyd u2.5 ER & M. King 5+ K’s ✅ Real sweaty from Boyd who was not at his best tonight. Unfortunately one of his two earned came in the 1st inning to kill our NRFI, plus we would’ve hit a +127 if we went with King for 6+, but we’ll take 2-1 for +0.80

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5/1/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Algorithm 2025 NRFI Record: 17-10 (+3.84 units) No big leans from the algorithm so we will stay away from any NRFI’s today. 1-1 split yesterday so we sit at a 63.0% hit rate which is still incredible. Check out our first 5 innings algorithm for a different

5/1/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Algorithm

2025 NRFI Record: 17-10 (+3.84 units)

No big leans from the algorithm so we will stay away from any NRFI’s today. 1-1 split yesterday so we sit at a 63.0% hit rate which is still incredible. Check out our first 5 innings algorithm for a different
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5/1/25 MLB First 5 Algorithm F5 Bets Record: 8-8 (-0.85 units) We let the alg sit and cook for a few days, now it’s time to get back on track with our only play today. We started out 5-2 but have missed a few close ones, let’s CRUSH this one tonight: 1️⃣ COL @ SF o4.0 F5 RUNS

5/1/25 MLB First 5 Algorithm

F5 Bets Record: 8-8 (-0.85 units)

We let the alg sit and cook for a few days, now it’s time to get back on track with our only play today. We started out 5-2 but have missed a few close ones, let’s CRUSH this one tonight:

1️⃣ COL @ SF o4.0 F5 RUNS
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5/1/25 MLB First 5 Prop COL @ SF o4.0 F5 RUNS (+100 Caesar’s) Predicted Score: COL 2.98 - SF 2.94 - Our algorithm is predicting nearly 6 runs in this one, so we HAVE to take it as one/both of the team can get this done. Verlander has struggled at home since last season,

5/1/25 MLB First 5 Prop

COL @ SF o4.0 F5 RUNS (+100 Caesar’s)

Predicted Score: COL 2.98 - SF 2.94

- Our algorithm is predicting nearly 6 runs in this one, so we HAVE to take it as one/both of the team can get this done. Verlander has struggled at home since last season,
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5/2/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Algorithm 2025 NRFI Record: 17-10 (+3.84 units) Hyped asf for today’s NRFI alg play. We’ve been cooking all season long let’s get another banger win. Also solid looks in WAS-CIN and ARI-PHI, definitely can use the graphic to your advantage on those: 1️⃣ HOU

5/2/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Algorithm

2025 NRFI Record: 17-10 (+3.84 units)

Hyped asf for today’s NRFI alg play. We’ve been cooking all season long let’s get another banger win. Also solid looks in WAS-CIN and ARI-PHI, definitely can use the graphic to your advantage on those:

1️⃣ HOU
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5/2/25 MLB First 5 Algorithm F5 Bets Record: 8-9 (-1.85 units) Disappointing last night after a great start. Solo homer in the 1st followed by 2nd and 1st with one out, double-play ball kills the inning alongside any momentum we had. No plays from the F5 alg today, I know it

5/2/25 MLB First 5 Algorithm

F5 Bets Record: 8-9 (-1.85 units)

Disappointing last night after a great start. Solo homer in the 1st followed by 2nd and 1st with one out, double-play ball kills the inning alongside any momentum we had. No plays from the F5 alg today, I know it
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5/2/25 MLB Player Prop #1 M. Fried u5.5 HA & J. Cannon 3+ K’s (-103 Bet365) - Fried has been arguably the best pitcher in baseball so far this year with a 5-0 record and a 1.19 ERA. He is under this line in 23/35 stats since last year including 4 straight as a Yankee. And

5/2/25 MLB Player Prop #1

M. Fried u5.5 HA & J. Cannon 3+ K’s (-103 Bet365)

- Fried has been arguably the best pitcher in baseball so far this year with a 5-0 record and a 1.19 ERA. He is under this line in 23/35 stats since last year including 4 straight as a Yankee. And
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5/2/25 MLB Player Prop #2 M. Wacha 4+ K’s & B. Woo u1.5 BB (+110 DraftKings) - Baltimore is quietly becoming a really good strikeout target as they have the 3rd highest K-rate vs. RHP at home at 25.7%. Wacha has 4+ K's in 25/35 starts since last year including 13/17 on the road

5/2/25 MLB Player Prop #2

M. Wacha 4+ K’s & B. Woo u1.5 BB (+110 DraftKings)

- Baltimore is quietly becoming a really good strikeout target as they have the 3rd highest K-rate vs. RHP at home at 25.7%. Wacha has 4+ K's in 25/35 starts since last year including 13/17 on the road
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5/2/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Prop HOU @ CHW NRFI (-135 BetMGM) Algorithm Predicted Chance: 62.8% - Jonathan Cannon has been PERFECT at home, going 12-0 on NRFI’s since last year. He gets the Astros who have the HIGHEST NRFI rate of any team this year with 25 NRFI’s in 30 games. Valdez

5/2/25 MLB NRFI/YRFI Prop

HOU @ CHW NRFI (-135 BetMGM)

Algorithm Predicted Chance: 62.8%

- Jonathan Cannon has been PERFECT at home, going 12-0 on NRFI’s since last year. He gets the Astros who have the HIGHEST NRFI rate of any team this year with 25 NRFI’s in 30 games. Valdez