LLMs have complex joint beliefs about all sorts of quantities. And my postdoc James Requeima visualized them! In this thread we show LLM predictive distributions conditioned on data and free-form text. LLMs pick up on all kinds of subtle and unusual structure: 🧵

After supervising 20+ papers, I have highly opinionated views on writing great ML papers. When I entered the field I found this all frustratingly opaque So I wrote a guide on turning research into high-quality papers with scientific integrity! Hopefully still useful for NeurIPS

AI transformation of SDLC in a newly agent-centric world - interesting perspectives via Lenny Pruss amplifypartners.com/blog-posts/the…

This reading list of recent advances in applied econometrics looks like a treasure trove! curated by: Christine Cai² {link in replies}

"Floods", by Dev Patel, is one of the more astounding Big Data econ papers I have ever seen. Machine learning can be used on satellite data to essentially do magic. How damaging are floods? How much do they affect human capital attainment? A thread on the paper 1/

Good article on why fine-tuning large language models can have a 'destructive effect' that is hard to quantify... open.substack.com/pub/codinginte…

What if an LLM could update its own weights? Meet SEAL🦭: a framework where LLMs generate their own training data (self-edits) to update their weights in response to new inputs. Self-editing is learned via RL, using the updated model’s downstream performance as reward.

Good survey of AI Trends via Iconiq including AI Talent as a key differentiator iconiqcapital.com/growth/reports…

sscardapane.it/alice-book/ Excellent short #ebook on AI maths with pytorch examples

Just call him/it? Devin... cnbc.com/amp/2025/07/11…

Hmmm...

"In practice, we found that a chain of at least six(!) model configs was the minimum for >99% success rate and latency below threshold, to safeguard against both period-of-time and stray, one-off issues across different providers, accounts, and models." open.substack.com/pub/engineerin…

Do you prepare yourself to a Phd\Master Microeconomics course? The 2025 version of my book "Lecture Notes in Microeconomic Theory: The Economic Agent" is available for FREE downloading. See first comment to the URL.

Paper: The Alchemy of Multibagger Stocks: An empirical investigation of factors that drive outperformance in the stock market #factor model includes fundamental, technical, and macroeconomic variables, to EBITDA growth, complex momentum effects.. open-access.bcu.ac.uk/16180/1/The%20…

Microsoft report shows which jobs are impacted by AI most arxiv.org/pdf/2507.07935