Tier List of Prediction Markets This purely based on volume, and the most interesting part is that only 7 markets recorded over 1m in total volume. Polymarket with over 13b is absolutely dominating, we’re still early.

Know anyone in the Bay Area in prediction markets? Send them this, they won’t want to miss it

Prediction markets will be part of everyone’s daily life

BREAKING: The rapture will occur today, according to a famous South African pastor. 1% chance he's right. poly.market/WeJ0Jb6

Looks like Kalshi is now live with a *volume* rewards program. This is distinct from the *liquidity* rewards that I wrote about in the QT, but is much much straightforward, so I'll explain here🧵

> cultural ... but I think they won’t be niche once there’s massive retail adaptation (in 5+ years)

the simulation is going crazy rn

EV > emotions

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“South Park parlay: I want Cartman in gambling rehab, Kyle betting on someone dying, J0hn Wang kicking someone in the nuts. Read it back to me.”

I was today years old when I learned about the absolute sports betting legend Billy Walters. Ty Billy Bets Jared Augustine

Who's gonna make a market: Which cartoon will reference prediction markets next? 👀 Polymarket Kalshi Melee Poll

I wonder which platform will get the rep for being first to ''break'' tradeable questions like breaking news, but with markets. There’s some econ value in opening first, but the real prize is clout imo

Prediction markets won’t be following culture…They will BE culture

That’s the beauty of peer to peer: a trade connects anyone, from the most reckless degen to the wall st 1%

Difference between a casino and a prediction market: do well in a casino, they ban you. Do well in prediction markets, they build you a leaderboard

Know anyone in prediction markets in the Bay Area? Send them to the Oct 9 SF Tech Week event!

TGIP = thank god it’s prediction