Meu novo livro, A LOTERIA DO NASCIMENTO: filha do porteiro termina universidade, mas não alcança o filho do rico, escrito em parceria com Fillipi Nascimento, está pronto. Pré-venda: bit.ly/46n9i21. Lançamento no Insper, dia 20/08: bit.ly/insper1789 Bora?

Using time series graph to identify causal effect be like

Want to know more about Lisa Cook being fired and why it’s so important Read our Monetary Policy Radar explainer on.ft.com/3JB1m3E Donald Trump moves to fire Lisa Cook. What’s next?

Quando for fazer os gráficos do seu trabalho pense em fazer gráficos que sejam inclusivos. cran.r-project.org/web/packages/c… Esse pacote vai te ajudar a fazer isso. Abs

Absolutely thrilled that our paper has found such a fantastic home! 🤩 🎁 FREEBIES * Patent-based IV for identification of technology news shocks * Monthly estimate of TFP for the US economy 👇 silviamirandaagrippino.com/code-data HT to our editor Kurt MIT-shock-man & referees #econtwitter

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The BIS Multisector Model, a new macroeconomic model featuring a detailed production network and accompanied by a ready-to-use toolbox, analyses economic dynamics and monetary policy reactions in more than 80 economies. bit.ly/48f0UT8

A few people made the good point that my chart would make more sense in growth rate terms, not the raw change in gold holdings of central banks. So the LHS below is the original one I posted and the RHS one is the corresponding growth rate. Central banks aren't big gold buyers...

Another great paper here showing that Embrapa was an industrial policy success allowing Brazil to dramatically improve productivity of crops in its local terrain. To this day, Embrapa employs 2300 agricultural scientists, comparable to USDA

Há 129 anos, uma expedição militar era enviada para destruir Canudos. Convertida em um "paraíso dos pobres", a comunidade foi rotulada como uma ameaça à ordem vigente e submetida a um massacre que deixou 25.000 mortos. Leia mais no Opera Mundi 1/27 operamundi.uol.com.br/pensar-a-histo…

Brazil's transformation into a large trade surplus country is unique in EM. But the current account deficit remains wide, as lots of the farms that export crops are foreign owned, so the profits from the trade surplus go abroad. That will change over time. robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/when-will-br…

Na batida da visita dos aprovados da ANPEC essa semana aqui na Brazilian School of Economics and Finance FGV EPGE, deixo o link de uma página na qual eu compilo vários recursos sobre pesquisa empírica em Economia: Como escrever código de qualidade, como ter acesso a dados, ... rgriva.github.io/resources

Sometimes pawn, sometimes king. Prof. Dr. T., B. T. Throwback to the day I defended my PhD thesis – a milestone of grit and growth! Grateful for the journey and the people who shaped it. #TBT

Five years ago today. A beautiful graph.

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📢 𝐂𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐏𝐚𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐬 – 𝐁𝐄𝐀𝐑 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟔! 📢 Our Annual BEAR Conference is coming up, focusing on “The Interconnected World” theme of our research agenda — spanning topics in international trade, macro, and finance. 📄 Submit your best work by 15

A must-read for anyone already practicing or just interested in data visualization. I'd absolutely assign it to all my students in an intro data science class — and you should too!

‼️💥 The USMPD is now out 💥‼️ High-frequency monetary policy surprises for all official FOMC comms 👇 sffed.us/usmpd 🔸 Since 1994 🔸 Regularly updated 🔸 FREE! Paper 👉 frbsf.org/wp-content/upl… w\ Miguel Acosta A. Ajello Michael Bauer & F. Loria #EconTwitter

The much improved draft of "The Anatomy of Cyber Risk" with Hélène Rey and Ahmed Tahoun is now available online. Link: users.ox.ac.uk/~econ0628/Cybe…

What's wrong with the Acemoglu argument that liberalism can save the working class? Many things, of course...(!!) I make a small intervention about what he misses about the nature of global capitalism in today's Financial Times. ft.com/content/d4f8a4…