Recent headlines suggest a recovering economy and Xi's attempt to win back friends in the West, one may think the worst of Covid is over for China. Unlikely. I offer some analysis on its long-term implications for Chinese governance in Foreign Affairs. Thread.

China focused grad students and untenured profs, consider this great conference!

Lobbying Congress has become crucial to China's grand strategy in an era of more hostile US-China relations. More in my statement for today's U.S.-China Commission hearing on China's global influence and interference activities, w/ specific proposals for FARA reform: uscc.gov/sites/default/…

Worth a read

As great-power competition intensifies, Africa’s democracies will be torn between the United States and its adversaries, writes Brett Carter. How can Washington undercut Beijing’s and Moscow’s influence across the global South? trib.al/AfGREnu

Informative article by Li Yuan袁莉. The US is missing out on the emigration of talent from China, where there is discontent with rising repression. As Ryan Hass notes, 60% of the most valuable US tech firms were founded by immigrants or their children. nytimes.com/2023/10/03/bus…

"If I could leave America with one thought it would be this: Do not underestimate your moral strength. Promote your values instead of apologizing for them, especially when you deal with China." — Jimmy Lai in a great interview with Peter Robinson

🔓New open access paper Brett Carter, Erin Baggott Carter and Stephen Schick examines #survey methodology in #China. doi.org/10.1017/S03057…

A cynical person might say "no duh" but it's in fact very useful to have this proven: Chinese citizens fudge their answers on opinion polls; thus we must question polls showing that the CCP enjoys widespread legitimacy. The China Quarterly cambridge.org/core/journals/…

Again an important study by Erin and Bret Carter The China Quarterly that folks should read

The Economist features survey research of Hoover fellows Erin Baggot Carter (Erin Baggott Carter) and Brett Logan Carter (Brett Carter ) who find that the CCP is much less popular in China than widely assumed. Read more: hvr.co/3RZQWv2

THREAD: “Most public opinion research in China uses direct questions to measure support for the CCP and gov't policies. These direct question surveys routinely find that over 90% of Chinese citizens support the government" Erin Baggott Carter Brett Carter open.substack.com/pub/dexter/p/t…

In my #OpenAccess paper with Weiyi Shi and Boliang Zhu (doi.org/10.1177/205316…) in 2018, we documented similar biases using four list experiments. We proposed further assessment of this issue in future research, so it is good to see this new paper out.

If you would like to learn more about state-society relations in China and other autocracies (like how Chinese and Russian propaganda cover democracy, June 4, and Donald Trump), check out our book, Propaganda in Autocracies (a.co/d/chtIjWl) Brett Carter

.Xie Feng 谢锋: "大部分在中国进行的民意调查都采用直接提问的方式来衡量民众对中共(中国共产党)及政府政策的支持度。这些直接提问式调查通常发现，中国公民对政府的支持率超过 90%。因此，学者们推断中共享有真正的合法性。本文介绍了我们在当代中国进行的两项调查实验的结果..." 1/3

Go Connie!