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Despite regional truces in the the threat of #Israeli escalation against #Iraq persists due to previous attacks by iraqi #islamic_Resistance factions. But will the conflict extend across borders, and what the chance of it?. My latest on Amwaj.media amwaj.media/article/despit…

"Given the region's current dynamics, #Israel is unlikely to launch large-scale attacks on #Iraqi armed factions in near future. Instead, if regional tensions were to reignite, Tel Aviv may opt for more limited actions" amwaj.media/article/despit… MOHANAD FARIS Amwaj.media

Ukrainian-made hilarious summary of what took place in the Oval Office between Trump, Vance, and President Zelensky. Enjoy! 😂😂😂

Contentious retirement clause puts future of #Iraq’s #PMU in question amwaj.media/media-monitor/… via Amwaj.media

The interim authorities in Syria have adopted a new 'constitutional declaration', which is the equivalent of an interim constitution. This is another major step in the transition and is deserving of attention. I summarise its contents and offer some analysis in the thread below

The Axis of Resistance has endured catastrophic defeats since Oct.7, but this should not obscure the capabilities it still retains. In the first part of a long appraisal, Thanassis Cambanis and I try to make sense of the new state of play for the AoR. tcf.org/content/report…

NEW: There's a lot of movement on #Iran. Amwaj.media has the story on why Khamenei ultimately declined Trump's nod at UAE as interlocutor—and why Iran insists on indirect talks with the US, at least for now. Coverage of domestic/external dynamics at play amwaj.media/en/media-monit…

Brussels is watching amazed, as Trump destroys the US economy. "Nobody in the Commission thought that the US government would be this stupid and self-destructive," an EU official tells me. "That they would blow up their own country by letting ChatGPT make their trade policy." 🧵

Chinese memes on American re-industrialization rolling in. lol the music. 😂

Iran-US talks on Saturday will be direct despite Iran's official insistence to the contrary, credible sources close to the establishment in Tehran have told me.

NEW: Plunge in oil prices sparked by Trump's tariffs may spark another economic shock in #Iraq. Budget is based projected crude prices of $70-ish per barrel. IMF says Iraq needs oil at $92. Crude is currently trading slightly above $60 per barrel.. amwaj.media/en/media-monit…

The Pope’s visit has enhanced the already strong position of Najaf internationally as an emblem of moderation and closeness to all religions and sects in Iraq. It also asserted that Najaf is not a power above the Iraqi state but is rather supportive of it. search.app/cN3WM9fGWP6Sx6…

Report No. 2 from Thanassis Cambanis and me exploring how Iran and the Axis of R are likely to adapt and turn inward following recent blows. We look at strategic options that are left for Iran, the Houthis and Hezbollah as they navigate the shifting tides. tcf.org/content/report…

War of narratives: -Fed up over Netanyahu's obstruction on Gaza/Iran, Israeli media say Trump is putting out distance -US media close to Israel report Dermer met Trump -Hegseth cancels trip to Israel ahead of Iran talks Conclusion: Netanyahu is probably missing Genocide Joe

NEW: #Iraq’s 2023 provincial polls, aimed at revitalizing local governance, has instead exposed factional divides & worsened struggles in underserved communities. Could these crises come to haunt alliances in Baghdad? Arran Robert Walshe reports for Amwaj.media amwaj.media/en/article/dee…

Smart piece by Arran Robert Walshe on highly underreported governorate-level politics in #Iraq. Outcome of local disputes could play a significant role in redrawing the political map as the country is set to held parliamentary elections in November. amwaj.media/en/article/dee…

In the 1980s, the Iranian military was a disorganized mess at odds with itself, Iranians were scurrying around the world begging to buy inaccurate Scud missiles, and Hezbollah consisted of a band of young Lebanese men. Iran today has formidable nuclear capabilities, the vastest

🔎 #Haftanın Analizi : Deep Dive: Will provincial crises come to haunt alliances in Baghdad? Arran Robert Walshe Amwaj.media amwaj.media/en/article/dee…

As all eyes are on how Iran may respond, including potential attacks on US forces, there are also questions about possible steps related to the nuclear program. In a May 22 letter sent to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres and IAEA chief Rafael Grossi following leaks in US

Former IAEA director general confirms that Israel, which refuses to sign the NPT, possesses nuclear weapons. Makes events of past 24 hours stand out even more.