Whilst entire market is watching BTC- this little nugget has gone largely unnoticed .

US Bonds have been asleep since over the past 2 years. A good sign that Fed policy is in a good place. Low vol, 50bp range in 10yr. Music to Powell's ears. Things looks good under the surface. However keep in mind, the US gov is running a huge fiscal deficit and they squashing

Market Squawk report

Merciful bounce for now in crypto. Sentiment is fragile. Today markets are focused on talks in the Middle East. Should those breakdown. You can bet that BTC and ETH will be breakdown to unchanged for the day.

Key events for the week ahead: Japanese elections over the weekend, with Takaichi set to win a supermajority key focus on market reaction during the Asia session. US NFP and CPI due this week following the government shutdown. Middle East risk on traders radar.

The diversification away from USA continues .

Market Squawk report

BTC 60k to 70k bounce - market now exhausted all dip buyers . We call this a dead cat bounce . 60k to be tested again to see if there is still interest but discounted prices or if market needs further discounts to draw in sufficient liquidity . The fact we have now spent 3

Not sure I did my followers justice this morning just stating BTC was in dead-cat bounce phase. So allow me to explain. Open Chart from 2022 BTC sell-off. This is a price action observation that is not exclusive to BTC but all markets. When sentiment is very negative in a

A note in FT on why fertility rates are collapsing. The summary …. Women got educated and determined the downside of having big families is too great in comparison to the upside .

Im a GOOG fanboy. Personally I think they will be one of a few winners in the AI race. 100yr corporate bond issuance at yield of 6.125% is SMART but this is a major inflection point for financial markets to be aware of! Read the attached from Bloomberg this morning. Let me tell

The Warsh Effect. US data bad-US indices go boom because MOAR rate cuts. US data hot-US indices go boom because we get cuts when Warsh comes in June. The way the market reacted to that NFP print by merely pushing the rate cut from June to July tells you all about the general

Market Squawk: Following a strong NFP print, traders await Friday’s CPI release. #Traders #NFP #CPI

Market Squawk: CPI on deck after AI Scare selloff. #Traders #CPI

Key events for the week ahead: Monday US bank holiday (CME early close) and Chinese New Year holidays. UK data on the docket and the first read of US Q4 GDP. Second round of US–Iran talks. VIX expiry and OPEX Friday. Traders closely monitoring a possible IEEPA tariff ruling.

Market Squawk: Lagarde early-exit chatter, UK CPI mixed. AMZN bear market on AI capex concerns; Mag 7 lagging. US–Iran talks constructive. #Macro #CentralBanks #TechStocks #Geopolitics #AITrade

Love these Monday morning notification quotes Tradelo Trading

US tariffs struck down and clearly market not sure what to do with it because the SCOTUS didn't provide details on refunds and POTUS has alternative options to keep tariffs in place.

Summary of supreme court ruling. 1. Uncertainty around tariffs disappears. 2. The avg tariff rate drops with the new baseline 10% implemented. There are other tariffs deemed 'national security' that will come into effect over time. Net/Net the avg tariff rate is lower. 3.

For now we at the lower end and over following years we will inch higher toward 13.6%. President Trump has 2.5yrs left in office