Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile
Timothy Peterson

@nsquaredvalue

Network Economist
Author of "Metcalfe's Law as a Model for #Bitcoin's ₿ Value" & "The Debauchery of Currency: a Bloody History of #Money"

ID: 983820686576713728

linkhttps://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=2848613 calendar_today10-04-2018 21:35:04

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Using conservative assumptions, #Bitcoin is headed to $5,000,000. It is estimated it will take about 23 years to reach this value, an annualized average return of 22%. However, prior to 2031, the average return should be much higher than 22%. After 2031, the return would be

Using conservative assumptions, #Bitcoin is headed to $5,000,000.  It is estimated it will take about 23 years to reach this value, an annualized average return of 22%.  However, prior to 2031, the average return should be much higher than 22%.  After 2031, the return would be
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I made this chart 5 months ago because I was curious to see how #Bitcoin tracked prior recoveries from bear markets. This shows the past two recoveries. I averaged them and found the standard deviation to give an indication of an expected range. Months ago I picked a date,

I made this chart 5 months ago because I was curious to see how #Bitcoin tracked prior recoveries from bear markets.  This shows the past two recoveries.  I averaged them and found the standard deviation to give an indication of an expected range. Months ago I picked a date,
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Americans lost $5.6 Billion to #crypto scams in 2023. Not defending crypto, but for comparison, Americans lost $634 billion in purchasing power due to #government #money printing in 2023. #Inflation: 120x more damage to the American consumer than crypto scams

Americans lost $5.6 Billion to #crypto scams in 2023.  Not defending crypto, but for comparison, Americans lost $634 billion in purchasing power due to #government #money printing in 2023. 

#Inflation:  120x more damage to the American consumer than crypto scams
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For Sale 1980's style mobile #phone. #Motorola. Manufactured before all this shit went down. $1,000,000. Serious inquiries only. No #terrorists.

For Sale

1980's style mobile #phone. #Motorola.
Manufactured before all this shit went down.

$1,000,000.  Serious inquiries only. No #terrorists.
Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Index of Leading Economic Indicators continues its decline. The index has now given up all gains over two presidential administrations. Whenever this index drops below 5%, it indicates a #recession is in progress, which in this case was late 2022. Excluding the GFC in

The Index of Leading Economic Indicators continues its decline.  The index has now given up all gains over two presidential administrations.  Whenever this index drops below 5%, it indicates a #recession is in progress, which in this case was late 2022.  Excluding the GFC in
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Too Much #Crypto Has Been Lost Forever, But ‘Smart Wallets’ Can Stop The Attrition "Studies suggest that Cane Island’s estimate is indeed accurate" @canedigital bitcoinist.com/too-much-crypt…

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What does October hold for #Bitcoin? In Forecasting Uptober, @canedigital provides a simple formula that predicts Bitcoin's October performance based on recent changes in Metcalfe Value. This model is statistically significant with a 95% confidence interval. Metcalfe values

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#Gold: Based on this model gold => $3100. That assumes the price of #silver remains unchanged. If silver climbs also, gold would go higher than that.

#Gold:  Based on this model gold  => $3100.  That assumes the price of #silver remains unchanged.  If silver climbs also, gold would go higher than that.
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I have yet to see an #Election2024 issues list that singles out the #debt as a concern. This is not just telling, but a warning. You should be afraid. Hard (scarce) assets should be the core of-if not 100% of-your portfolio.

I have yet to see an #Election2024 issues list that singles out the #debt as a concern.  This is not just telling, but a warning. You should be afraid.  Hard (scarce) assets should be the core of-if not 100% of-your portfolio.
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#Bitcoin ignition right on schedule. If in 30 days we start to feel the g-forces of acceleration, it will be an amazing but not entirely unexpected repetition of history. 🚀

#Bitcoin ignition right on schedule. If in 30 days we start to feel the g-forces of acceleration, it will be an amazing but not entirely unexpected repetition of history. 🚀
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National Treasury Employees Union, whose employees literally include people that issue #government #debt and IRS #tax collection agents, endorses Harris.

National Treasury Employees Union, whose employees literally include people that issue #government #debt and IRS #tax collection agents, endorses Harris.
Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This cycle will be lower because this #economy is terrible for most people. Any increase in #money supply will be used to catch up on #debt and cost of living expenses, not 'speculative' #Bitcoin investments, or any other savings and investment for that matter. To wit: