fHMM: #RStats package for fitting (hierarchical) #HMMs to financial time series (now available on CRAN). Provides tools for data scraping, model fitting, model checking, and visualisation 📉. Check tinyurl.com/2ehp3xuu for details/examples (all credit to Lennart Oelschläger)!

⚽️🏀🏈⚾️🥎🎾🏐🏉🥏🎱🪀🏓🏸🏒🏑🥍🏏🪃🥅 Abstract submission deadline TODAY!! Submit your paper here: easychair.org/conferences/?c… ⚽️🏀🏈⚾️🥎🎾🏐🏉🥏🎱🪀🏓🏸🏒🏑🥍🏏🪃🥅

UPDATE: April 23 (this Friday!) Stefan Szymanski Stefan Szymanski will present instead "The European Super League and the Americanization of European Football". It will be in part based on his 1999 Economic Policy paper of a prophetically similar title: jstor.org/stable/1344667…

This morning Mathsport International 8 begins - a two day online conference of top research on sport from across a range of disciplines! Here's the schedule: sites.google.com/view/mathsport… If you want to join this morning (talks start 9:30am UK) DM me.

New paper on the hot hand!🔥Together w/ Sina Mews, we investigate basketball free throws🏀To address the temporal irregularity of the observations, we use state-space models in continuous time and provide evidence for a small but noticeable hot hand effect doi.org/10.1007/s10182…

🥳15 Doktorand*innen erhielten gestern auf der Mitgliederversammlung der Universitätsgesellschaft Bielefeld (UGBi) die Dissertationspreise. Mit dieser Ehrung zeichnet die UGBi die besten Doktorarbeiten an der Bielefeld University aus dem Jahr 2020 aus: bit.ly/3h90Mct

footBayes: an R package for football (soccer) modeling using Stan statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2022/02/22/foo…

📣📣📣📣📣📣📣📣📣📣 Conference Announcement! 9th Mathsport International Conference ⚽️🏀🏈⚾️🥎🎾🏐🏉🥏 July 11-13 University of Reading Uni of Reading 🎱🏓🏸🏒🏑🏏⛳️ research.reading.ac.uk/economics/even… Abstract deadline: April 30 2022 📣📣📣📣📣📣📣📣📣📣

"A copula-based multivariate hidden #Markov model for modelling momentum in football" investigates the potential occurrence of change points in the dynamics of football matches. Read this #OA article here: link.springer.com/article/10.100…. cc: Marius Ötting & @RolandLangrock

We are looking for a new member of our biostats group. Be part of a young and innovative #Stats team Bielefeld University 👉 bit.ly/3v78ZFC #Statstwitter

The IX Mathsport International Conference is almost upon us here Uni of Reading Economics Department Uni of Reading! Register here: research.reading.ac.uk/economics/even… EWG_orinsports #mathsport #sportecon

Kick off for the 9th #mathsportinternational! Delighted to have keynote from Lotte Bransen on the #WEURO2022 to start our conference with! EWG_orinsports Uni of Reading Uni of Reading Economics Department

Nice to sit back in a heatwave and watch my coauthors (Marius Ötting & Luca De Angelis) doing all the work... #mathsport Uni of Reading Economics Department

Day 2 of the #iwsm2022 starts with a great talk by Timo Adam on state-switching SDEs 📈

Great talk by Jennifer Pohle at #iwsm2022 on state-switching step selection analysis 📉 Johannes Signer.

The Women's World Cup kicks off next week! Together with Rouven Michels and Dimitris Karlis, we built a forecast ⚽️ According to our model, Spain, the USA and England are most likely to win the cup 🏆 Check it out at tinyurl.com/4fufwa73 #WomensWorldCup Bielefeld University

The FIFA Women's World Cup Round of 16 will start tomorrow! ⚽️According to our model, Spain is most likely to win the cup, closely followed by England🏆 You can find our predictions here: tinyurl.com/4fufwa73

We updated our predictions⚽️ England is now the favourite to win the cup 👇

Today, Robert Bajons, @JanOleKoslik, Marius Ötting and I submitted our NFL #BigDataBowl project (kaggle.com/code/robbwu/pe…). Based on a comparison between real and hypothetical tackle frames, we develop the metric "PEP" which quantifies the Prevented Expected Points by a tackle.

We narrowly missed out on the most coveted ranks, but are still very happy to receive an honourable mention as the only team from Europe. Thanks again for the great work of Robert Bajons, @JanOleKoslik and Marius Ötting #BigDataBowl