Increasingly relying on #Russia, as #Mali and other African military leaders are doing, has not, again unsurprisingly, improved security or economic prospects: Russia "often exacerbated state fragility—undermining its own influence." by Federico Manfredi Firmian x.com/ManfrediFirmia…

From Federico Manfredi Firmian: "Russia’s state capture strategy in Africa, from Wagner to the Africa corps", published in the journal Small Wars & Insurgencies tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.108…

How will the collapse of Assad's regime affect Russia's capacity to sustain military operations in Africa? I discussed this with Sheriff Bojang Jr. for The Africa Report. Read the full analysis here: theafricareport.com/370967/explain…

Did the CIA's Timber Sycamore program in #Syria have an impact on the collapse of Assad's regime? I discussed this with Robert Tollast for The National. Read the full analysis here: thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2024…

A day to remember.. #Syria

How will the #GazaCeasefire impact ‘forgotten’ conflicts in #Africa? I shared my thoughts with Sheriff Bojang Jr. for The Africa Report. While the ceasefire could free up diplomatic & media bandwidth, persistent political challenges may stall any meaningful change. theafricareport.com/374057/what-wi…

"The significance of this book cannot be overstated. It stands as essential reading for policymakers and practitioners engaged in policy matters concerning Syria, Turkey, and Iraq." Federico Manfredi Firmian reviewed my book Statelet of Survivors Middle East Institute muse.jhu.edu/pub/119/articl…

My new publication on Sudan is out. Glad that this timely research is now available to read: Beyond state capture: the case of the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

As #Trump pulls the plug on #USAID, African nations will see reduced engagement in governance support and civil society-led initiatives, which could contribute to setbacks in civil and political liberties. #Africa #China I discussed this with Sheriff Bojang Jr. for The Africa Report.

Spoke to Lebanese MP Haydar Nasser in the aftermath of the horrific retribution massacres in Syria, discussed his concerns for stability in Lebanon, and his hometown Tripoli, and Federico Manfredi Firmian about what comes next. thenationalnews.com/news/mena/2025…

Out now, WAR IN SYRIA AND THE MIDDLE EAST presents an in-depth, interdisciplinary study to examine the causes of conflict in the Syria (and the larger Middle East). 🧵

Spoke with Sheriff Bojang Jr. Africa Report about the scramble for the strategic port of #Berbera in #Somaliland. “With the #Houthis continuing to threaten commercial shipping, Berbera offers a potential base for monitoring and protecting key trade routes.” theafricareport.com/380820/the-bat…

Federico Manfredi Firmian for ISPI describes the current situation in #Libya, with the appointment of the new UN SG representative, ongoing clashes in institutions and Haftar's rapprochement with Russia despite US warnings. ispionline.it/it/pubblicazio…

My book on the war in #Syria, published by University of Texas Press, is featured in the latest issue of Survival: Global Politics and Strategy (Survival: Global Politics and Strategy) Read about it here 👉 tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10… Get the book 👉 utpress.utexas.edu/9781477331095/ #Syria #MiddleEast #InternationalRelations

I spoke with Sheriff Bojang Jr. The Africa Report about what #Trump’s vow to “permanently pause” migration from what he called “Third World countries” means for #Africa. Read the full article: theafricareport.com/400496/trumps-…