This could be another reason the market is ripping. Bank liquidity will soar if the capital restrictions from 2008 get rolled back. This should be bullish for bonds. Lower yields.

$IWM - Small Caps trying to make a move.....

The S&P 500 has been higher in a post-election year nine of the past 10 cycles (going back 40 years to 1985). Strength now is normal, it is next year you need to worry about.

Credit Stress 1.6 | Credit spreads continued to narrow with yesterday's market action, pushing us back down to stress level 1.6. With credit spreads coming in, risk-on sentiment will likely continue in risk assets that are at or near record highs, with expectations of additional

$CRCL - VCP for 20% ADR name, only 2.8% capital required at 0.3% risk. Just hovering around 10-MA with daily range for the past 4 session below 30% to its ATR. +6% move yesterday from an extremely contracted price action due to current high ADR of 20% (less than 30% of avg

Netscape’s browser marked the beginning of the internet revolution and the subsequent technology bubble. Along the way, countless events rattled investors, yet the broader trend persisted for years, ultimately culminating in the blow-off top of 2000. ChatGPT represents the

Small cap positioning remains "depressed".

Macro Conditions according to Jim are as easy as they get: depreciating dollar, narrowing credit spreads, subdued inflation, and interest rates remaining below 4.5%.

CTAs are set to double their equity exposure over the next 2 weeks. BIG systematic buying coming. $SPX $QQQ $IWM

Large speculators / hedge funds are holding their largest net short positions since the market bottomed in early April. Let that sink in.

“Short US dollar” is the most crowded trade for the 1st time in FMS history

Stocks are at new highs, yet sentiment is normalizing at best. There aren't any signs of froth out there. These two from the BofA Global Fund Manager survey show this well.

The non-profitable tech stocks (as well as other retail favorites) were the poster children of the liquidity bubble in 2021, and until recently have been languishing near the bottom after being cut in half during the tight money rate reset of 2022. But they are trying to come

Market Crash Indicator (Update 8/1/25): Hitting the 50% RSI level of the 30y:2y ratio has been the key level to reach for all major crashes dating back to 1990 ('21-'22 was the only exception). Today's major curve-steepening action is beginning to lift it again - this monthly

No surprise here, but Berkshire Hathaway did not repurchase any stock in Q2 2025. (And none in the first three weeks of July, either.)

$ndx $spx #engulfing NDX Weekly outside bar down -higher high (actually highest in 6-months in study below), close below previous week's.

Dow & SPX - whole history.

Potential fat pitch setting up on $IWM as it builds out this base above its rising 50 day moving average $IWM is also the most shorted its ever been, which was the main conviction behind my $ETH trade when it set up. Crowded positioning can fuel massive, directional moves.

Here is a daily chart of $IWM with the Commitment of Traders report at the bottom. You can see what happened the last two times the spread in positioning got this wide...🧨

Warren Buffett Indicator hits an all-time high of more than 211%, the most expensive stock market valuation in history 🚨🚨🚨