Here's another update to this chart as of Sep 3. Climatologically, only 35% of the season's ACE has occurred by now. The 2024 #HurricaneSeason's dot will fall somewhere in the orange oval (left side if nothing else forms, right side if the rest of the season goes off the rails).

Too pretty not to share.

Curious to try out #Bluesky? If you're a #hurricane fanatic, I created a Starter Pack of folks to follow (and happy to add more!): go.bsky.app/88mXQKD

A big shout-out to Philip Klotzbach and the rest of the team at CSU Atmos Sci for compiling this analysis and discussion. Many of us have been digging into this question and putting out scattered thoughts, but I like this summary and will direct people to it. tropical.colostate.edu/Forecast/2024_…

This is pretty amazing: the ocean heat content averaged over the Gulf of Mexico is obliterating previous all-time record highs. It's 126% of average for the date. bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/ohc/

With Labor Day in the rearview mirror, you are probably hoping for the end of the brutal summer heat. Unfortunately, Brian McNoldy has some bad news. miaminewtimes.com/news/when-miam…

#Summer, defined here to be days when the heat index reaches 90°F+, lasts three weeks longer now (1991-2020 average) compared to four decades ago (1951-1980 average) in #Miami. miaminewtimes.com/news/when-miam… Miami New Times University of Miami Rosenstiel School

On Wednesday, #Miami just had its 14th day this year that met the county's heat advisory criteria of a 105F+ heat index for 2+ hours. Combining the heat and humidity, 2024 is shaping up to be the 2nd-muggiest year on record, though well behind crazy 2023. bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/mia/

The monthly SST data are in for August (NOAA's ERSSTv5), and over the tropical Atlantic, the average SST is still keeping pace with the record-shattering 2023 values. I also highlight the SST in mega-hurricane seasons 2005 and 1933 for reference.

With August's SST data, we now have the next Oceanic Niño Index value, which is just a hair above zero (i.e. still ENSO-neutral). The ONI is defined by a 3-month SST anomaly in the Niño 3.4 region in the equatorial Pacific Ocean. bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/oni/

Don’t see this every day…

7 years ago today, on the morning of September 5, #Irma intensified to a Category 5 hurricane for the first time. It maintained that status for an incredible 78 hours of terror. A collection of satellite & radar loops: bmcnoldy.rsmas.miami.edu/tropics/irma17…

Comments on the Atlantic hurricane season so far....much credit to Philip Klotzbach Eric Blake 🌀 Brian McNoldy latimes.com/environment/st…

Radar loops added from #China to cover #TyphoonYagi: bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/ (h/t Isaac G. for the nudge)

"Meteorologists predicted a busy Atlantic hurricane season—and a recent lull in activity doesn’t negate that." scientificamerican.com/article/atlant…

The radar in #Haikou is centered in the eye of powerful #TyphoonYagi... and thankfully it's still up & running (so far)!! 🤞 bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/

New statement from former Vice President Cheney: “In our nation’s 248-year history, there has never been an individual who is a greater threat to our republic than Donald Trump. He tried to steal the last election using lies and violence to keep himself in power after the voters

You outdid yourself with this one... wow. Patrick J Rigney Taking #MartiniFriday to a new level.