Here's the latest on the race for the House, from me: dailykos.com/stories/2024/1…

My latest looks at what would happen under various past polling errors:

My latest:

About a week late to posting this story of mine, but Turnout Wasn't To Blame: dailykos.com/stories/2024/1…

dailykos.com/stories/2024/1…

I am *thrilled* to share that Andrew Mangan and I will write a weekly polling column for Daily Kos. This is our first piece, which reviewed why the GOP suddenly thinks the economy is doing OK and who supports Trump’s tariffs, among other things. dailykos.com/stories/2025/1…

This is such a catastrophic loss not only for election journalism but also as an election data resource — can't even count the number of times I've relied on 538's polling averages, redistricting trackers, etc for my reporting

538's open source API and all the other data we/they freely compiled and shared over the years drove so much important work across the industry. this is going to have pretty severe ripple effects. and it was often work done by 2 or 3 people.

Just a reminder that all the data FiveThirtyEight collected—polls, election results, and much more—is available for download (for now) on our GitHub page. github.com/fivethirtyeight

As it turns out, Americans are less 👊🇺🇸🔥 about the leak, and more 🤬. My latest, which ran on Sunday: dailykos.com/stories/2025/3…

If House Republicans successfully slash Medicaid, they'll hurt 1 in 5 of those who live in their district (on average). My latest Survey Says column: dailykos.com/stories/2025/5…

I scraped data for every Walmart store in the country to find that the company's tariff-induced price hike will disproportionately hit states that Trump won last year. My latest: dailykos.com/stories/2025/5…

"President Donald Trump is waging a war on your fridge—in more ways than one. And he’s doing so with strong voter opposition." I look at some exclusive polling from Civiqs: dailykos.com/stories/2025/5…

My latest Survey Says column is on the totally uncontroversial topic of Biden's reported cognitive decline—and why it unfortunately matters to Democrats' future. dailykos.com/stories/2025/6…

Republican support for same-sex marriage is tumbling. I dive into why in my latest Survey Says column: dailykos.com/stories/2025/6…

JD Vance's pet worry isn't shared by vast majority of Americans. And what they're actually concerned about—the high cost of child care—he's pretty uninterested in addressing. My latest column:

Trump's approval polls, they're bad. Historically bad. My latest Survey Says column: dailykos.com/stories/2025/7…

New polling on Israel/Palestine and Trump's climate-killing EPA, as well as a dive into the mirror world of right-wing pollsters. My latest "Survey Says" column: dailykos.com/stories/2025/8…

I ran the numbers on Trump's new favorite phrase and was pretty shocked by the results. Check out my latest column to see. Thank you for your attention to this matter! dailykos.com/stories/2025/8…

Trump has given his critics a new motto to mock him with. dailykos.com/stories/2025/8…