If liberals do not want Americans to turn to the false promise of strongmen, they need to offer the fruits of effective government. But that means admitting where the governments they run have gone wrong.

1) I spoke with David Shor about his autopsy of the 2024 campaign. Based on voter file data, 26 million voter interviews, and precinct returns, he reaches a few conclusions. One is that if all registered voters had turned out, Trump would have won a landslide:

This: to voters, populism isn’t left vs right, it’s people vs institutions. Populism is the electorate’s mood right now. Progressives get this better than moderates generally (not always) This explains why AOC outdid Harris in 2024 even when voters said Harris was “too liberal”

I stand corrected. Zahilay's Seattle margin is x2-3 bigger than Balducci's Eastside margin Zahilay & Balducci had similar mid-20% floors in all LDs; but while Balducci got >40% in just LD48, Zahilay broke 40% in 6, >50% in 4 (all Seattle) Zahilay had higher ceilings (Seattle)

Ann Davison was down 7,188 votes in the 2021 primary, not “67,821” votes.