Are you into puzzles? Then you might enjoy our new preprint! We compare two Bayesian tests for the equality of two proportions and find that they can yield dramatically different conclusions 🧵 Link: arxiv.org/abs/2108.04909 คุณ Alexander Etz Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Out today in Judgment and Decision Making (SJDM, Society for Judgment and Decision Making) with Lauren Montgomery. A signal detection theory analysis shows that, in making predictions about NFL games, experts seem better tuned to environmental regularities like the home-team advantage. journal.sjdm.org/21/210729a/jdm…

I suppose now is as good a time as any to announce that come January I'll join UT Psychology as Assistant Professor of Instruction in Psychology Data Analytics, Statistics and Research Methods.

An exciting year for UT Austin #psychology students interested in #datascience and #psychology with new courses offered in UT Psychology UT Liberal Arts Association for Psychological Science Lawrence Cormack @DMSchnyer Chen Yu @jbintheATX chris beevers James Curley Alexander Etz @KayaDeBarbaro

For a year I’ve been part of a group that logs, shares and celebrates rejections. For The Atlantic, I tracked down the creators of the OG “rejection collection” and tried to understand why this simple system has changed how I others experience rejection theatlantic.com/family/archive…

So here's my advice on a career mindset for young academics: forget the serial model, and go parallel. Figure out what you're good at, and what you enjoy. Determine the full range of careers consistent with these parameters, and investigate all of them.

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Rearranging Bayes's theorem tells you that: P(A | B) / P(A) = P(B | A) / P(B) So in fact, the proportional increase to the probabilities will be the same.

A tutorial on fitting joint models of M/EEG and behavior to understand cognition. I suspect this tutorial will be useful to students, and modelers wishing to incorporate M/EEG signals into their work. This is a new preprint! Comments are welcome. psyarxiv.com/vf6t5

Spring semester is over (minus grading...), and I'm already looking forward to the Fall semester. This should be fun!

🏆🏆🏆 Award announcement! Congratulations to Adriana Chávez De la Peña (@Adrifelcha), the 2022 winner of the Virtual MathPsych People's Choice Award. All attendees were able to vote for their favorite talks and the most liked MathPsych talk wins the award! #iccmpsyched

In Psych Rev with Jesus Villarreal and Alexander Etz. A predata measure of model falsifiability and complexity. Examples for hierarchical and nested models challenge common intuitions, and a final example shows the usefulness of incorporating informative data priors. psycnet.apa.org/doi/10.1037/re…

SWPA 2023 is underway with our NSF-funded preconference workshop on behavioral data science! The workshop is led by Alexander Etz and Larry Cormack from UT Austin. SWPA

Postdoc alert...please RT! I am hiring a Postdoctoral Research Scholar to work with me on Bayesian models of numerical cognition. Two year position starts Sept 1. Applications will be reviewed at the end of April, so apply now! tamus.wd1.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/TARLETON… #postdocposition

Teaching evaluations are a funny thing. "Alexander was not a professor, he just regurgitated info on slides." I don't even teach from slides in that course🤷‍♂️

Every statistician will come to a point in their career where they feel like they have no choice but to get a tattoo with "what is your research question?" on their forearm

The HDI ROPE decision rule is logically incoherent but we can fix it osf.io/5p2qt/