Early look at 2025 Minor League Win% for each organization. Guardians, Marlins, and A's are the early leaders. A's, Mets, and Braves have shown the best improvement so far compared to their 2024 Win%

Smash Factor = Exit Velocity / Bat Speed Popularized in golf, Smash Factor measures how efficiently energy is transferred from the swing to the ball. It’s used to optimize club and swing performance. In baseball, we can apply the same concept. Here are league leaders:

we also have the cub FF as mid-level stuff. odd strategy indeed. count leverage matters, but i’m hoping for more than “establish the fastball” here. i extended this to show stuff vs usage by team across all pitch types. other outliers: SF sinkers, ATL sliders.

xwOBA over expected (based on pitch location and ball flight characteristics) essentially creates hitter run values over expected for balls in play. Yesterday's leaders!

Let’s go Avs…so far Jessie Ross a better good luck charm than Roy Krishnan last year ✊🪵

The evolution of Pete Crow-Armstrong's adjustability is kind of wild. #Cubs Last season: only consistently barreled things in middle-up band of the zone This season: insane vertical coverage, majority of barrels on non-fastballs

Ben Casparius didn’t get the start tonight—he came in as the bulk guy—but he absolutely made his case for a rotation spot. That’s an arsenal of elite pitches holding up across 70 throws. He’s ready to start!

WE ALL KNOW BAT SPEED MATTERS BUT MY GOODNESS Home Run Rate vs. Bat Speed (MPH) Over half a million swings via Statcast

anyway, i only got a job at driveline because i was a lucky applicant who could throw back a couple of 🥛: x.com/alex_caravan/s… long live Alex Caravan and Dan Aucoin.

Biggest bat speed droppers year over year among qualified hitters. Not all struggling, but almost all have seen a dip in exit velocities and barrels.

ep 102, we discussed a similar strat by ATL— with prospects, rather than with FA vets: keep arsenals slim through the minors to emphasize development of one or two haymaker pitches; let stuff eat through MLB debut; worry about broadening the mix once established in the bigs.

i was only talking about batted balls here but obv pitch movement is affected much more, and fixing it starts a little game of whack a mole. pitch movement can be added back with higher drag & lift coefficient (from surface properties & seams), but doing so reduces ball carry due

Used k-NN regression to simulate expected attack angle based on pitch characteristics to see which hitters' attack angles are merely a result of pitch selection. Comment some hitters to see the comparison of their distributions

There's more drag on the ball this year than any year in the statcast era, according to MLB's own numbers. More drag means less distance on batted balls, and equally-well-hit balls are indeed not traveling as far this March-May as in past seasons. baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_searc…

Early stages of researching how whiff trends change as the swing path tilt increases holding everything else equal.

confirming what Darren O'Day pointed out last night: 2023 strider was both supremely dominant and efficient. everyone remembers the dominant part, but he only needed <5 pitches/PA to achieve those 280 Ks, using just FF and SL. total unicorn. cole, peralta, miller, etc., needed 5+.

am planning a sports analytics meetup in NYC sometime in mid july. if you’re in the area and would be interested feel free to reply to this or shoot me a message

Short NBA players (6'3'' or under) are playing fewer minutes and possessing the ball much less than they did just five seasons ago Story below ⬇️

If Tucker is swinging slower, the next question is, "Has he done this before? Did this happen in 2024 last season?" The answer is sort of but it's complicated. When he returned from his shin injury, it dipped a little bit to where we see now. Regardless, I think it's just a

I'll bite thef5.substack.com/p/picture-book