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This electorate-level pessimism towards home ownership and retirement that we have identified is associated with a decline in support for the Labor Party in many outer-suburban and regional electorates.

This should be a concern for the government, as some of these are the outer suburban and regional seats that may decide the next election (ie. Lingiari, Blair)

We, Redbridge and Accent Research have an MRP (Multilevel regression with poststratification) analysis scheduled for publication in the coming weeks. The 3rd for the year. Let’s see if this attrition is reflected at a seat level. There was a marked difference between our 1st

Here’s a closer look at the latest insights from our RedBridge and Accent Research published MRP analysis. The most significant shift since our first MRP of the year has been a notable surge in the Coalition’s primary vote in outer suburban electorates across Sydney and

With less than 6 months until the next Australian federal election, the latest Accent Research | RedBridge MRP estimates the Coalition would win between 64-78 seats if an election were held now, and Labor 59-71 Read on for details

This research was produced by Accent Research and RedBridge Group. Kos Samaras , Tony Barry and Simon Welsh For details on the results and methodology, see the report: accent-research.com/projects/austr…

A first in this country. A key seat polling track. This track will run from now until the end of the election. Conducted by RedBridge and Accent Research for all the News mastheads (Commissioned) across the country. In 2025, national polls may not be the sole indicator of

Our RedBridge and Accent Research findings on Trump and Australia’s relationship with the U.S. Across key federal seats. 59% of Australians have an unfavourable view of Trump. Bad news for that new party that requires tongue twister gymnastic abilities to pronounce.

interested in research on Australian politics, housing and inequality? Join us for a seminar on: The Housing Affordability Crisis, Intergenerational Inequality, and the 2025 Federal Election hosted by the University of Sydney and Macquarie Details below, link in next post

I've been really happy with how News has been willing to represent the uncertainty in sampling (which is the heart of opinion polling). This is the first time I am aware of a major Australian media outlet doing this We're in the field now with more polling. Watch this space

Our results are presented in the Daily Telegraph, Herald Sun, Courier Mail etc in accordance with our methodology, with uncertainty intervals explicitly quantified and visualised. Polling is a diagnostic tool. Not a fortune cookie. As Shaun Ratcliff states. We are in the field

I had the pleasure of talking to Marija Taflaga and Mark Kenny @markgkenny.bsky.social for the latest ep of Democracy Sausage about our recent polling We discussed how different demographic segments are voting, the Coalition's weakness on economic policy & the political geography of the election

Details on the latest Accent Research | RedBridge MRP

NEXT WEEK: Kos Samaras, Director Strategy Analytics, Redbridge Group, Jessica Elgood, Director, Ipsos Public Affairs & Shaun Ratcliff, Principal, Accent Research will Address the National Press Club of Australia on “Where the 2025 election will be won – the experts’ view”. Join

The latest wave of Accent Research/RedBridge poll tracking in 20 marginal seats, published by News Corp, has shown Labor with a 54.5-45.5 two-party-preferred lead over the Coalition There has also been a 9% drop in the Coalition's primary vote across the 20 seats since February

Looking forward to joining Kos Samaras and Jessica Elgood at the National Press Club today to discuss the 2025 federal election, polling, and where the battleground seats are You should be able to watch on the ABC and Sky News at 12:30

Our latest RedBridge and Accent Research commissioned key seats track. This is wave 5. Labor is tracking at 54.5% a critical point given our key seat mix includes both Labor and Coalition-held electorates. The Coalition’s campaign has clearly hit a wall, with young

Last week I joined Kos Samaras, Jessica Elgood and Tom Connell at the National Press Club of Australia to discuss “Where the 2025 election will be won (and lost)” This was a really interesting panel that covered a lot of ground. You watch via the link in my next post

Curtin's Cast MEGA federal election preview! On tomorrow's episode @Dyrenfurth and Kos Samaras we are joined by psephology superstar Shaun Ratcliff We discuss all things democracy sausage including who will win and why, the key seats to watch, does it matter whether party

One for the data nerds. We, RedBridge and Accent Research got very close. Very pleased with this. Aside from the numbers, we were consistently reporting huge demographic shifts to Labor. Naturally, countered by some dodgy Coalition narratives about some phantom army of One