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WOWA.ca

@wowa_canada

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linkhttps://WOWA.ca calendar_today07-11-2018 20:42:38

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๐—ง๐——'๐˜€ ๐—ค3 ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜: $3.56B set aside for U.S. fines leading to negative income! ๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜†๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€: โ€ข Adj earning: $2.05/share (vs $2.07 expected) โ€ข Net quarterly income -$181M โ€ข Biggest hit: $3.56 B provision for potential U.S. fines (additional $0.6B last

๐—ง๐——'๐˜€ ๐—ค3 ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—ฅ๐—ฒ๐—ฝ๐—ผ๐—ฟ๐˜: $3.56B set aside for U.S. fines leading to negative income!

๐—ž๐—ฒ๐˜†๐—ป๐—ผ๐˜๐—ฒ๐˜€:
โ€ข Adj earning: $2.05/share (vs $2.07 expected)

โ€ข Net quarterly income -$181M

โ€ข Biggest hit: $3.56 B provision for potential U.S. fines (additional $0.6B last
Hanif Bayat (@hanifbayat) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Lowest mortgage rates since May 2023: 5-yr fixed insured: 4.24% (just hit today!)๐ŸŽ‰ 5-yr fixed uninsurable (e.g. refinance): 4.79% Today's mortgage rates: wowa.ca/mortgage-rates The steady 5-yr bond yield at ~3% has driven this drop in fixed rates. ------------------------

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Canada Housing Market (July 2024): wowa.ca/reports/canadaโ€ฆ โ€ข Benchmark: $724,800 -4.3%โฌ‡๏ธYearly & -0.8%โฌ‡๏ธMonthly โ€ข Avg price: $667,317 -0.2%โฌ‡๏ธYearly & -4.1%โฌ‡๏ธMonthly โ€ข Sales: 38,626 -3.2%โฌ‡๏ธYearly & -0.7%โฌ‡๏ธMonthly ๐Ÿ”น๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ home prices are declining, mainly due to Ontario's

Canada Housing Market (July 2024):
wowa.ca/reports/canadaโ€ฆ

โ€ข Benchmark: $724,800
-4.3%โฌ‡๏ธYearly & -0.8%โฌ‡๏ธMonthly 

โ€ข Avg price: $667,317
-0.2%โฌ‡๏ธYearly & -4.1%โฌ‡๏ธMonthly

โ€ข Sales: 38,626
-3.2%โฌ‡๏ธYearly & -0.7%โฌ‡๏ธMonthly

๐Ÿ”น๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ home prices are declining, mainly due to Ontario's
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๐—•๐— ๐—ข'๐˜€ ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ: $BMO down 6% today after uncovering bad loans from its acquisition of Bank of the West โ€ข Write offs:โฌ†๏ธ+111% YoY to $643M (5-yr high) โ€ข ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ท ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด:ย $2.64/share (vs $2.75 exp) โ€ข ๐—ฃ๐—–๐—Ÿ: โฌ†๏ธ84% YoY to $906M โ€ข ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ:โฌ†๏ธ19% YoY

๐—•๐— ๐—ข'๐˜€ ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ: $BMO down 6% today after uncovering bad loans from its acquisition of Bank of the West

โ€ข Write offs:โฌ†๏ธ+111% YoY to $643M (5-yr high)

โ€ข ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ท ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด:ย $2.64/share (vs $2.75 exp)

โ€ข ๐—ฃ๐—–๐—Ÿ: โฌ†๏ธ84% YoY to $906M

โ€ข ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ:โฌ†๏ธ19% YoY
WOWA.ca (@wowa_canada) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Bank of Nova Scotia's Q3 2024:ย  โ€ข BNS acquired 15% of Cleveland-based KeyCorp at US$2.8B โ€ขย Write offs:โฌ†๏ธ+28% YoY to $1B, highest since Q3 2021 โ€ขย Adj earning: $1.63/share (vs $1.62 exp) โ€ขย Net income:โฌ‡๏ธ-13% YoY to $1.91B โ€ขย ๐—ฃ๐—–๐—Ÿ:โฌ†๏ธ+28% YoY to $1.05B $BNS ๐—ข๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ

Bank of Nova Scotia's Q3 2024:ย 

โ€ข BNS acquired 15% of Cleveland-based KeyCorp at US$2.8B

โ€ขย Write offs:โฌ†๏ธ+28% YoY to $1B, highest since Q3 2021

โ€ขย Adj earning: $1.63/share (vs $1.62 exp)

โ€ขย Net income:โฌ‡๏ธ-13% YoY to $1.91B

โ€ขย ๐—ฃ๐—–๐—Ÿ:โฌ†๏ธ+28% YoY to $1.05B

$BNS ๐—ข๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ๐—ฟ
WOWA.ca (@wowa_canada) 's Twitter Profile Photo

๐—ฅ๐—•๐—– ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด: $RY hits an all-time high with a market cap of CAD $227B๐Ÿš€ โ€ข Adj earning: $3.26/share (vs $2.97 exp) โ€ข HSBC acquisition is boosting earnings โ€ข Write-offs:โฌ†๏ธ+51% YoYย to $537M, highest in 5 yrs โ€ข Net Income:โฌ†๏ธ+16% YoYย to $4.5B โ€ข

๐—ฅ๐—•๐—– ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด: $RY hits an all-time high with a market cap of CAD $227B๐Ÿš€

โ€ข Adj earning: $3.26/share (vs $2.97 exp)

โ€ข HSBC acquisition is boosting earnings

โ€ข Write-offs:โฌ†๏ธ+51% YoYย to $537M, highest in 5 yrs

โ€ข Net Income:โฌ†๏ธ+16% YoYย to $4.5B

โ€ข
WOWA.ca (@wowa_canada) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Mortgage Rate Update: Aug 28, 2024๐Ÿ (Changes from Aug 21) 40+๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ lenders rates: wowa.ca/mortgage-rates 5-yr bond yield: 2.97% (+4bpsโฌ†๏ธ) 3-yr fixed Insured: 4.44% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ) Uninsurable: 4.89% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ) 5-yr fixed Insured: 4.24% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ) Uninsurable: 4.79% 5-yr fixed rates

Mortgage Rate Update: Aug 28, 2024๐Ÿ
(Changes from Aug 21)
 40+๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ lenders rates: 
wowa.ca/mortgage-rates

5-yr bond yield: 2.97% (+4bpsโฌ†๏ธ)

3-yr fixed
Insured: 4.44% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)
Uninsurable: 4.89% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)

5-yr fixed
Insured: 4.24% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)
Uninsurable: 4.79%
5-yr fixed rates
Hanif Bayat (@hanifbayat) 's Twitter Profile Photo

๐Ÿ’ธ Financial Struggles for Canadians: Big 6 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Banks wrote off $3.49B in loans in Q3 2024 (+48%โฌ†๏ธYoY) ๐Ÿ”นHigher than COVID Peak: $2.6B in Q3 2020 ๐Ÿ”นDouble the 2008 Crisis Peak: $1.5B in Q4 2008 ๐Ÿ”นMinimal Risk for Banks: Significant ACL reserves set aside ๐Ÿ”นDark Clouds:

๐Ÿ’ธ Financial Struggles for Canadians:

Big 6 ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Banks wrote off $3.49B in loans in Q3 2024 (+48%โฌ†๏ธYoY)

๐Ÿ”นHigher than COVID Peak:  $2.6B in Q3 2020

๐Ÿ”นDouble the 2008 Crisis Peak: $1.5B in Q4 2008

๐Ÿ”นMinimal Risk for Banks: Significant ACL reserves set aside

๐Ÿ”นDark Clouds:
Ron Butler (@ronmortgageguy) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This Is The Stuff We Need To Watch For The Next 18 Months: Bank's Provisions For Loan Losses This is the real Recession Indicator AND the best signal of when Bank Underwriting will drastically tightened Thanks to WOWA.ca for this info This REALLY is the key Red Flag

WOWA.ca (@wowa_canada) 's Twitter Profile Photo

๐—–๐—œ๐—•๐—–'๐˜€ ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด: $CM.TO price rose 5.5% today after beating expectations. โ€ขย ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ท ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€: $1.93/share (vs $1.74 expected) Driven by lower-than-expected PCL โ€ขย W๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ-๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐˜€: โฌ†๏ธ+34% YoY to $425M โ€ขย ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ:โฌ†๏ธ+25% YoY to

๐—–๐—œ๐—•๐—–'๐˜€ ๐—ค๐Ÿฏ ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฌ๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ ๐—˜๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด: $CM.TO price rose 5.5% today after beating expectations.

โ€ขย ๐—”๐—ฑ๐—ท ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ฟ๐—ป๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด๐˜€: $1.93/share (vs $1.74 expected)
Driven by lower-than-expected PCL

โ€ขย W๐—ฟ๐—ถ๐˜๐—ฒ-๐—ผ๐—ณ๐—ณ๐˜€: โฌ†๏ธ+34% YoY to $425M

โ€ขย ๐—ก๐—ฒ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ฐ๐—ผ๐—บ๐—ฒ:โฌ†๏ธ+25% YoY to
Hanif Bayat (@hanifbayat) 's Twitter Profile Photo

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Residential Mortgage Amortization of Big 6 banks + Desjardins as of July 31, 2024: Remaining Amortization: โ€ขย 36.8% ($596B) > 25-yr (vs 37.7% in Q2) โ€ขย 11.4% ($184B) > 35-yr (vs 13.4% in Q2) โ€ขย 4%+ ($65.2B+) are non-amortizing (vs 5.7% in Q2) Non-amortizing: Payment <

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Residential Mortgage Amortization of Big 6 banks + Desjardins as of July 31, 2024: 

Remaining Amortization: 
โ€ขย 36.8% ($596B) &gt; 25-yr (vs 37.7% in Q2)
โ€ขย 11.4% ($184B) &gt; 35-yr (vs 13.4% in Q2)
โ€ขย 4%+ ($65.2B+) are non-amortizing (vs 5.7% in Q2)
Non-amortizing:  Payment &lt;
Ron Butler (@ronmortgageguy) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The Mortage Amortization Crisis Will Ease As The Bank Of Canada Continues To Cut Rates But as you can see here in research from WOWA.ca mortgage amortization in Canada is remains stressed The percentage with GROWING mortgages is dropping but too many still over 30 years

Hanif Bayat (@hanifbayat) 's Twitter Profile Photo

๐Ÿ“ˆ๐—ฅ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—”๐—–๐—Ÿ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜€: ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ, ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ฑ & ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ด๐—น๐˜† โœ…๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ: Banks are well-prepared with substantial reserves. โš ๏ธ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ฑ: Significant loan write-offs expected. ๐Ÿ”ด๐—จ๐—ด๐—น๐˜†: The toughest financial times may still be ahead. ๐—”๐—–๐—Ÿ๐˜€

๐Ÿ“ˆ๐—ฅ๐—ถ๐˜€๐—ถ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—”๐—–๐—Ÿ๐˜€ ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ป๐—ธ๐˜€: ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ, ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ฑ &amp; ๐˜๐—ต๐—ฒ ๐—จ๐—ด๐—น๐˜†

โœ…๐—š๐—ผ๐—ผ๐—ฑ: Banks are well-prepared with substantial reserves.

โš ๏ธ๐—•๐—ฎ๐—ฑ: Significant loan write-offs expected.

๐Ÿ”ด๐—จ๐—ด๐—น๐˜†: The toughest financial times may still be ahead.

๐—”๐—–๐—Ÿ๐˜€
WOWA.ca (@wowa_canada) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Rate Cut Alert ๐Ÿšจ #BoC cuts rates by 0.25% on Sep 4, 2024, bringing its rate to 4.25% Why? Rising unemployment & slowing inflation Two more cuts expected in Oct & Dec. Total 1.25% more cuts expected over next 12 monthsโš ๏ธ More: wowa.ca/bank-of-canadaโ€ฆ &

WOWA.ca (@wowa_canada) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Mortgage Rate Update: Sep 5, 2024๐Ÿ (Changes from Aug 28) 40+๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ lenders rates: wowa.ca/mortgage-rates Most rates are at their lowest since May 2023!๐ŸŽ‰ 3-yr fixed Insured: 4.39% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ) Uninsurable: 4.89% 5-yr fixed Insured: 4.19% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ) Uninsurable: 4.59% (-20bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)

Mortgage Rate Update: Sep 5, 2024๐Ÿ
(Changes from Aug 28)  

40+๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ lenders rates:
wowa.ca/mortgage-rates

Most rates are at their lowest since May 2023!๐ŸŽ‰

3-yr fixed
Insured: 4.39% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)
Uninsurable: 4.89% 

5-yr fixed
Insured: 4.19% (-5bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)
Uninsurable: 4.59% (-20bpsโฌ‡๏ธ)