Taylor Trogdon (@ttrogdon) 's Twitter Profile
Taylor Trogdon

@ttrogdon

Deputy Associate Director/Forecast Operations Specialist/CIRA/@noaagsl, @Mizzou/@gocreighton grad. Working in the space between research and operations.

ID: 525249617

calendar_today15-03-2012 10:38:49

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This could very well turn into a classic plains significant tornado outbreak today with the environment in place. Would not at all be surprised to see multiple strong to violent and long-track tornadoes this afternoon.

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The original left-split from the dominant right mover in NW OK has persisted and is now encountering much higher 0-1km SRH, anchoring on the deep moisture gradient and beginning to turn right. This is an uncommon evolution and it remains to be seen if this will produce a tornado,

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One of the better examples of “if you hear thunder, you’re close enough to be struck.” This bolt from the blue is over 40 miles from the nearest storm.

One of the better examples of “if you hear thunder, you’re close enough to be struck.”  

This bolt from the blue is over 40 miles from the nearest storm.
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I’m glad you’re getting a chance to (partially) rest. It was a pleasure being your neighbor at MEG during the earlier years — take care.

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105-110 mph just above 1000’ radar beam height heading to Bismarck, ND. Textbook northern plains summer bow echo developing. This should have longevity through the evening and is a high-end wind threat as it moves east.

105-110 mph just above 1000’ radar beam height heading to Bismarck, ND. Textbook northern plains summer bow echo developing. This should have longevity through the evening and is a high-end wind threat as it moves east.
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Given the storm environment, this is an almost guaranteed derecho across the northern plains. Eventual absorption of the pair of supercells ahead of the line will occur over the next hour with an exceptional damaging wind threat continuing with episodic tornadoes through the

Given the storm environment, this is an almost guaranteed derecho across the northern plains. Eventual absorption of the pair of supercells ahead of the line will occur over the next hour with an exceptional damaging wind threat continuing with episodic tornadoes through the
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A beautiful loop illustrating forward-propagation versus supercells moving right against the mean wind and ultimately the difference in net motion.