🚨NEW POLL🚨

Joe Biden: 37
Donald Trump: 39
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr: 11

WITH LEANERS:
Joe Biden: 40
Donald Trump: 41
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr: 16

n=847 RV/821 LVs, with an oversample of 300 voters aged 18-29.

split-ticket.org/2024/04/15/cha…

Following Bernie Moreno’s victory in the Buckeye State’s GOP Senate primary, we’re moving Ohio back into the Tossup column. Read about our evaluation of Brown’s path to reelection here: split-ticket.org/2024/04/09/tem…

NEW survey from Split Ticket, exclusively surveying voters 18-29:

Joe Biden: 35%
Donald Trump: 25%
Robert F. Kennedy, Jr: 23%

n=227 LV, 3/19-3/21

This is part of a larger experiment. Read more here: split-ticket.org/2024/03/27/we-…

TOMORROW: The results of a small Split Ticket survey on young voters.

Subscribe for free and get it in your inbox!

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Check out our primary preview looking at the key contests in Ohio and Illinois. The big race tonight is the Republican Senate primary in Ohio, which we think Moreno is favored to win. split-ticket.org/2024/03/19/pri…

🚨RATINGS CHANGE🚨:

#AZSen : Tossup -> Leans Democratic

split-ticket.org/2024/03/07/kar…

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The presidential primaries are getting most of the attention, but there are a lot of high-stakes congressional primaries under the hood. Check out our preview for a rundown: split-ticket.org/2024/03/05/our…

split-ticket.org/2024/03/05/our…

Support for marijuana legalization has surged over the past decade, having rapidly gained favor with voters in both parties. Our latest piece breaks down the shifting coalitions of marijuana referendums: split-ticket.org/2024/02/29/the…

Will Colorado succeed in keeping former President Trump off the ballot? Probably not. The Supreme Court will soon decide in Trump v. Anderson — one of this term’s most important cases. split-ticket.org/2024/02/19/tru…

Last year, Republicans swept the state of Louisiana, but not every race ended with the same outcome. Here's a detailled look at how Black voters fuelled a landslide win for now-Lt. Gov. Billy Nungesser.

split-ticket.org/2024/02/17/wha…

Race call: Democrat Tom Suozzi (D) wins the #NY03 special election against Nassau County legislator Mazi Pilip (R).

Suozzi will take up the seat vacated by George Santos following the latter's expulsion.

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Today, voters head to the polls in #NY03 , where Mazi Pilip (R) faces off against Tom Suozzi (D). Our model finds Suozzi a favorite based on the available data, but with room for an upset. split-ticket.org/2024/02/13/our…

History suggests Larry Hogan, like past Governors, will make a good Senate candidate. Just not good enough to win in Maryland. split-ticket.org/2024/02/11/lar…

In the Obama years, conventional wisdom held that Republicans performed better in low-turnout elections when voters stayed home. Eight years since, the tables may have turned.
split-ticket.org/2024/02/09/a-t…

Race Call: With all polls closing in New Hampshire, Split Ticket projects that Donald Trump has defeated Nikki Haley in the presidential primary.