Scheduled Summer Treasury market liquidity…

My “Warm Summer Housing Market” call is in view: presence of treasury liquidity = lower MOVE = lower mortgage rates. 😉

#UST #USD $SPX

Here is what $MSTR fan boys should remember and know:

1. Last 4 months of '99 MSTR went from 20 to 100.
2. Over the next 10 weeks it went to 333.
3. March 20, 2020, MSTR disclosed that the financial reports for '97 to '99 need to be restated and instead of reported profits, MSTR

“SPX companies returned a total of $940b to shareholders in 2023 via dividends, net repurchases and net debt reduction.”

$MCD became THE global brand and margins kept mooning. 1972-1980

And yet…
“Still went to 7x PE and lost 67% of its real value while all this amazing growth happened”

#niftyfifty #compounderbrosbubble

I warned clients strongly Wed morning to protect gold, silver trend longs as we CHASED short gold, silver, miners & metals Wed. #NotDone

Timing A Gold, Silver, Metals & Mining Pullback
$GLD $SLV $COPX

youtube.com/watch?v=IRTkj7…

Night of 25 May: Are we at critical moment in history: Russia saying ready for UKR cease fire, but declaring movement of RU borders, GPS jamming & deploying tac nukes next to Baltic Sea as NATO forces exercises accompany start of anti-Russia drone wall? WH election distracted?

“HF managers net sold US equities at the fastest pace since early Jan. All 11 US sectors were net sold. Single Stocks were net sold for a 3rd straight week and saw the largest notional net selling YTD (-2.3 SDs, 96th percentile 5-year).”
GS Prime Brokerage

#SoldToYou 🤷‍♀️😉

Good Point:
So CROWDING OUT of private industry productivity gains because of the mess monetary/fiscal policies have created in primary deficits - which is inflationary beyond what productivity can overcome.

So…. Bondes Are Trapped

🥺

The share of homes without a mortgage is rising, and now at about 40%
apolloacademy.com/us-housing-out…

Good sign: The stock market rally is broadening. That's healthy (and less bubbly).

In 2023, the 'Magnificent 7' tech stocks drove 60% of S&P 500 returns.

In 2024, that has fallen to 47%.

#stocks #dow #MarketTrends

THIS is how I came to time the biggest bond drawdown in history - 3 yrs in a row. Tracking PRODUCTIVITY, Wage Increases & Inflation.

Psst. Longer duration bonds love it when productivity outpaces wages and inflation. 😉

“Stronger productivity growth implies a higher speed

We already played $COST for clients as our Trade of The Week.

x.com/samanthaladuc/…

Mine just closed today +326% (by accident). 🙊
Had $811 as auto price target into EPS May 30th. Already hit! 🔥

#SwingPortfolio

Nothing to see here. Just the Chinese PLA exercising an attack on #Taiwan on #China Central Television CCTV.
via Stephen McDonell

$CPRT - trend long for clients awhile now 😉

#TrendPortfolio

laductrading.com/pricing/

Excellent 🧵

Baby Boomers control more wealth today than ever before, which they can now invest at the highest real rates in >20 years!

As a result, services consumption is being supported by high rates.

As lower income earners suffer under the weight of high rates.

I warned clients strongly Wed morning to protect gold, silver trend longs as we CHASED short gold, silver, miners & metals Wed. #NotDone

Timing A Gold, Silver, Metals & Mining Pullback
$GLD $SLV $COPX

youtube.com/watch?v=IRTkj7…

Wage growth has started to beat the pace of inflation, per FRED:

Another great swing long from the team at LaDuc Trading called out last week. $IP. If you what these plays, you should join. Good luck taking today everyone. Happy Memorial Day. No trading Monday. Markets are closed

54% of the S&P 500's gain YTD is just four stocks.

(Now do inflation-adjusted SPY returns for MAG 7 vs all stocks.)