It has taken £100m+ in signings, Granit Xhaka’s arrival in midfield & James Trafford’s #MCFC return for Burnley (1.33) to swap places with #SAFC (1.40) as PL relegation favourites. ⬇️ ‘To Finish Bottom’ market: 2.50 - Burnley 2.75 - Sunderland 5.00 - #LUFC

Had a few messages on this - unfortunately, the bettingexpert Podcast won’t be returning for 2025/26 after a great couple of seasons with Dan, Scott, Daniele & all the guests that chipped in along the way. You’ll have to put up with me posting on here more often instead!

Ipswich at 3.00 for a win on MD1. Ipswich at 4.00 to win the Championship after 46 games… Clearly a difficult opening fixture at St Andrews to kick off the season, but expected them to be a touch shorter. +0.25AH with the draw on side is tempting.

Sheffield Wednesday to win opened at 4.50 in June, drifted all the way out to 18/1 (+2.25AH) as half their squad/manager departed, & now approach KO at 12/1 on a +1.5AH. Threadbare bench understandably for #SWFC after summer of upheaval. #LCFC’s SH subs might be the difference.

Fair play to #SWFC for landing the handicap in the circumstances. Impressive first half. Injuries & a Bannan suspension ahead of Bolton/Stoke next week not helping matters - market already moving towards Bolton at home on the back of that 90: 1.70 > 1.45.

The EFL Cup delivering for the group tonight at just shy of 50/1. Shock horror it was Argyle that nearly lost their arse going 0-2 down… 😅

Following yesterday’s success, we’ve taken on SWFC tonight. Going off their youthful U21 lineup (5-0 loss) on Tuesday, the bulk of Wednesday’s U21s might feature, like QPR did @ Argyle. Bolton in from 1.70>1.30. Should assert control & dominate final third: shots, corners, etc.

Perfect start to the Premier League - buzzing to have it back. #AFCB were the most profitable PL team for punters in the Over 2.5 Goals market last campaign… same again in 2025/26? Dangerous as ever going forward + Kepa, Zabarnyi, Huijsen & Kerkez ripped out of that backline.

That has to be seen as two points dropped for Newcastle. Better team by far in the first half, restricting Villa to no shots + a Konsa red card just after the hour mark. #NUFC only won one away day (1-3 vs Forest) against teams that finished in the top 13 in 2024/25: W1/D3/L7.

After three defeats in three games, Plymouth Argyle have shifted from fourth favourites to win the title at 8/1 to 16th in the betting at 66/1. No team in the EFL has seen such a drop in both price and position in the league winner market. #PAFC now 2/1 for relegation from 20/1.

Tijani Reijnders’ #MCFC performance was a standout across MD1 of the Premier League. Reijnders & Ekitike were the only players to register both a goal and assist in the opener. That has seen his PFA Player of the Year price move from 40/1 (20th fave) to 12/1 7th favourite.

The two worst defences in League 1 meet tomorrow in Argyle vs Blackpool, with Lorent Tolaj available to play up top for the hosts. 13.81xGA & 20 goals conceded between them after x4 games. Neither in great form in the final third. No Ennis. Goal line set at over/under 2.5. 🤔

Huddersfield Town is the first team in the top four 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 divisions to replace one of the pre-season favourites at the top of the outright winner market. #HTAFC have moved from 9.00 joint second-faves in July to market leaders after five fixtures.

Forest scored the most set-piece goals (17) in the PL last season. West Ham have now conceded x4 following MD2. #NFFC vs #WHUFC next - the latter shipped 3 goals from corners & 0.94 set-piece xGA vs Chelsea. MD3 could quite easily be won & lost from a Forest corner. Milenkovic?

The Bundesliga is bonkers, again. No surprise that 8/9 matches on MD5 were priced above the 2.5-goal line. Currently at a 3.59 goals per90 average so far after 37 games, up from 3.13 last season. 13/18 teams currently averaging somewhere between 3.0 > 5.25 match goals per90.

Yeah the Bundesliga isn’t normal 😂 Frankfurt going 0-6 up after 47 minutes before disintegrating

Real Madrid have a -2.5 Asian Handicap to overcome in Kazakhstan vs Kairat Almaty. The last three occasions Real Madrid have kicked off on a similar handicap on a #UCL away day: 0-3 vs Sheriff Tiraspol (-1.75 AH) 0-5 vs Viktoria Plzen (-1.5 AH) 0-6 vs APOEL Nicosia (-2.5 AH)

Absolute pleasure to join the lads on the Bunch of Punts Pod this week! Plenty of bets below covering Saturday/Sunday’s games ⬇️

Since the Championship rebrand in 2004/05, no team has scored more than Coventry’s current 27-goal total after 9 games. No team has boasted a greater goal difference (+20). Frank Lampard’s side are now 3.25 faves for the title, implying a 30.8% likelihood of finishing 1st. #PUSB