After consultation with the National Weather Service, local law enforcement and emergency managers, Tulsa Oktoberfest organizers have decided to delay the opening of today’s festival until 2 p.m.

#Melissa 11am EDT Advisory postions and polygon...

#Melissa NHC hurricane force wind probabilities. The numbers will climb in advance of the center as uncertainty decreases.

. Derek Hodges Gulf Foxtrot Sierra 384

#Melissa ...

Steve Piltz VOIPWX.net will connect to SunflowerNet.us to accept #Skywarn reports.

#Melissa ...

#Melissa NHC hurricane wind probabilties...

#Melissa 5pm EDT NHC Advisory...

#Melissa recon ...

#Melissa with sustained surface wind in mph...

#Melissa NHC hurricane wind probabilities...

#Melissa ... latest recon center pass ...

#Melissa recon pass at 0138Z ...

#Melissa ... NHC 11pm EDT Advisory ... Cat 5 at landfall ...

#Melissa Vortex Data Message 1133Z ...

HWind's 0000UTC 27 Oct Full Ensemble Forecast shows a widespread area likely to experience wind gusts in excess of hurricane-force (74 mph) from Hurricane Melissa in the next couple days. Significant impacts from winds, surge, and flood will occur.

#Melissa Recon data 1417Z ... the dropsonde just missed the center, so the pressure change does not represent a trend in the storm's evolution.