RomanBays (@romanbays) 's Twitter Profile
RomanBays

@romanbays

Crypto Onchain Analytics

ID: 1377080750571282433

calendar_today31-03-2021 02:10:32

1,1K Tweet

537 Takipçi

1,1K Takip Edilen

Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$deUSD stablecoin collapsed by 97% after reports of major losses inside the project. About 65% of the collateral (approximately $68 million) was held as a loan in Stream Finance.

$deUSD stablecoin collapsed by 97% after reports of major losses inside the project.

About 65% of the collateral (approximately $68 million) was held as a loan in <a href="/StreamDefi/">Stream Finance</a>.
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I’ve been using my KAST card every single day for months. Coffee, flights, even rent → it’s the one card that actually bridges my crypto life with the real world. And now, with the V3 release, KAST just moved from being a “crypto card” to something much bigger: a

Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A Satoshi-era wallet moved roughly 11,000 $BTC - about $1.3B after 15 years of holding. The transfers were flagged by onchain trackers as large moves from a long dormant address. Transfers occurred on 11/9/2025 and were split across multiple large transactions; is this the

Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The US government's 40-day shutdown set a new record for political gridlock, and crypto investors paid close attention. Initially, Bitcoin felt the pressure, dropping below the $100,000 mark as market-wide fears grew. But the moment a bipartisan deal was announced, $BTC

The US government's 40-day shutdown set a new record for political gridlock, and crypto investors paid close attention. 

Initially, Bitcoin felt the pressure, dropping below the $100,000 mark as market-wide fears grew. 

But the moment a bipartisan deal was announced, $BTC
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Markets showed real strength on Nov 10. Bitcoin $BTC climbed 4% to reclaim $105K, while Ethereum $ETH rallied 7% to $3,600. Total crypto market cap reached $3.57T, up nearly 4% in 24 hours. Top performers included Decred $DCR up 49% and Starknet $STRK up 33%, driven by

Markets showed real strength on Nov 10. Bitcoin $BTC climbed 4% to reclaim $105K, while Ethereum $ETH rallied 7% to $3,600. 

Total crypto market cap reached $3.57T, up nearly 4% in 24 hours. 

Top performers included Decred $DCR up 49% and Starknet $STRK up 33%, driven by
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

All 4 limit orders filled at my entry levels. > $SUPER at 0.3370 > $SOL grabbed at 167, 171, 157 > $BTC locked at 101,777 > $PUMP fill at 0.00342 for 15k Didn't predict the exact low. Just placed buys where risk felt asymmetric. Market bounced right after. Portfolio's green.

Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I made my first deposit on Polymarket today: $100 in, $99.95 on the balance. The missing 0.25% is the platform’s deposit fee, a small reminder that even the entry point has a cost. Opening the dashboard felt surprisingly similar to opening a new trading terminal years ago: >

I made my first deposit on <a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a> today: $100 in, $99.95 on the balance.
The missing 0.25% is the platform’s deposit fee, a small reminder that even the entry point has a cost.

Opening the dashboard felt surprisingly similar to opening a new trading terminal years ago:
&gt;
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Anyone who panic-sold over the weekend lost the plot. Monday delivered a $1T rebound in US equities, and crypto reclaimed the $3T total market cap without hesitation. Here’s what actually mattered over the past 24 hours. > Polymarket is pricing an 83% chance of a December

Anyone who panic-sold over the weekend lost the plot.

Monday delivered a $1T rebound in US equities, and crypto reclaimed the $3T total market cap without hesitation.

Here’s what actually mattered over the past 24 hours.

&gt; <a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a> is pricing an 83% chance of a December
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I started this experiment with a clean $100 deposit. After a few small test positions, the balance sits around $91 → nothing dramatic, just the cost of learning how Polymarket actually behaves in real time. Here’s what I placed and what already played out. > I bet on a net

I started this experiment with a clean $100 deposit.

After a few small test positions, the balance sits around $91 → nothing dramatic, just the cost of learning how <a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a> actually behaves in real time.

Here’s what I placed and what already played out.

&gt; I bet on a net
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Hard to disagree with the point behind this. $MON trading near $0.04, ICO was $0.025, yet the starting risk–reward never lined up: > low float > high FDV > a setup that pushed buyers into weak asymmetry from day one Narratives can run, but structure still matters.

Hard to disagree with the point behind this.

$MON trading near $0.04, ICO was $0.025, yet the starting risk–reward never lined up: 

&gt; low float
&gt; high FDV
&gt; a setup that pushed buyers into weak asymmetry from day one

Narratives can run, but structure still matters.
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Most people try to predict the winner. Sometimes it’s easier to take both sides and let the market pay you for the mispricing. Today I found a clean example inside the "2nd Largest Company End of November" market on Polymarket. Two positions, both $10, both on the Yes side:

Most people try to predict the winner.

Sometimes it’s easier to take both sides and let the market pay you for the mispricing.

Today I found a clean example inside the "2nd Largest Company End of November" market on <a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a>.

Two positions, both $10, both on the Yes side:
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

GM, Dubai! The noise was high today, but a few things cut through. > SKALE launched an AI-focused Layer 3 on Base built for autonomous agents and Coinbase’s x402 payment rails. No gas, instant finality, private execution → it looks like the first serious attempt to

GM, Dubai!

The noise was high today, but a few things cut through.

&gt; <a href="/SkaleNetwork/">SKALE</a> launched an AI-focused Layer 3 on <a href="/base/">Base</a>  built for autonomous agents and Coinbase’s x402 payment rails.

No gas, instant finality, private execution → it looks like the first serious attempt to
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The last 24 hours felt like the market finally took a breath. Bitcoin $BTC pushed back above 90–91k and Ethereum $ETH reclaimed 3k, with the total market up roughly 3–4% on the day. Fed rate cut expectations and better global risk sentiment are doing most of the heavy lifting.

The last 24 hours felt like the market finally took a breath.

Bitcoin $BTC pushed back above 90–91k and Ethereum $ETH reclaimed 3k, with the total market up roughly 3–4% on the day.
Fed rate cut expectations and better global risk sentiment are doing most of the heavy lifting.
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I heard one of the wildest stories about this crypto cycle from Ran Neuner You do not have to agree with every part of it. But it is worth knowing. His video on a "coordinated attack" on Bitcoin $BTC and crypto was so good I want to retell the short version here. 🧵👇

I heard one of the wildest stories about this crypto cycle from <a href="/cryptomanran/">Ran Neuner</a> 

You do not have to agree with every part of it. But it is worth knowing.

His video on a "coordinated attack" on Bitcoin $BTC and crypto was so good I want to retell the short version here.

🧵👇
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The last 24 hours stayed green: total crypto market cap moved to $3.09T, about +3.2%, with Bitcoin $BTC still in control at 58.5% dominance and Ethereum $ETH around 11.7%. Fear is easing slowly: the index sits at 22, still "extreme fear", but higher than yesterday. The

The last 24 hours stayed green: total crypto market cap moved to $3.09T, about +3.2%, with Bitcoin $BTC still in control at 58.5% dominance and Ethereum $ETH around 11.7%. 

Fear is easing slowly: the index sits at 22, still "extreme fear", but higher than yesterday.

The
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Today it really hit me how often crypto feels like it is running the same script. Bitcoin $BTC made a new high around $120–126k in October, then crashed into the low 80k range in November, just like earlier cycles where a sharp peak is followed by a brutal flush. Now we are

Today it really hit me how often crypto feels like it is running the same script.

Bitcoin $BTC made a new high around $120–126k in October, then crashed into the low 80k range in November, just like earlier cycles where a sharp peak is followed by a brutal flush.

Now we are
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I spent some time today inside Polymarket looking at the big Bitcoin market: "What price will $BTC hit in 2025?" Right now the crowd is saying there is a 51% chance that Bitcoin trades above $100k in 2025. It is funny to compare that with the daily chart. Price swings from 80k

I spent some time today inside <a href="/Polymarket/">Polymarket</a> looking at the big Bitcoin market: "What price will $BTC hit in 2025?"

Right now the crowd is saying there is a 51% chance that Bitcoin trades above $100k in 2025.

It is funny to compare that with the daily chart. Price swings from 80k
Tears of Satoshi 🥹 (@satoshi_tear) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A White House digital asset advisor is talking big numbers again. In a recent round of comments he said that, once the new US stablecoin and market-structure laws are in place, the crypto industry could grow to $15–20T. For context: today crypto sits around $3T in total value.