RumpyCustardo
@rcustardo
I'm a sheep, and easy to ignore.
ID: 1365508134429741060
27-02-2021 03:45:05
2,2K Tweet
77 Followers
685 Following
elizabeth bennett This past year+, I became afraid of mob mentality. I'd never really experienced it like this before, but now I see very clearly how things have gone sideways throughout history. Once it gets going there seems to be very few things that can change the course before it's too late.
Dr. Lynora Saxinger MD FRCPC Infectious Diseases No. This risk was apparent almost 2 years ago, and pandemic policy must be held accountable for the contribution to this problem. No sweeping under the rug! nature.com/articles/d4158…
Ebony Jade Hilton, MD @TrishtheDish_7 Nick Foy Pre-covid, the best evidence we had (systematic reviews of RCTs) got us, at best, 'we don't know'. Cochrane review of such (to November 2020): cochranelibrary.com/cdsr/doi/10.10… Conditions for equipoise are met, and running an RCT is perfectly ethical in this case (we did 2 for covid btw)
Ebony Jade Hilton, MD @TrishtheDish_7 Nick Foy The Bangladesh cluster randomized trial was the biggest (~342,000 participants, and probably best study we have on this. science.org/doi/10.1126/sc… Cloth masks had no effect. Surgical had ~10% effect, but oddly was only significant for those aged 50-70.
Clifton Duncan Watching this poor man slowly and methodically unfurl a deep betrayal from his own profession over the past 2.5 years was quite a thing to see.
JB Kevin Bass PhD MS CFR is a function of testing, and when testing isn't random (only hosp. for eg.) it wildly overestimates as a proxy for IFR, missing mild cases (denominator) while catching most severe cases/deaths (numerator). Add in sensitive pcr testing and numerator also contains incidentals
JB Kevin Bass PhD MS Better: random testing, for something longer lasting (antibodies) to est. the true number of infections (seroprevalence). Then stratify by risk factors like age Here's what you get when you do that. Paper from Nov. 2020 More useful info for policy nature.com/articles/s4158…