QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile
QuantPM

@pmquant

Macro Portfolio Manager

ID: 1372140359577436163

calendar_today17-03-2021 10:59:02

2,2K Tweet

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Greg Ip (@greg_ip) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Britain got a bad deal. 10% tariff on almost everything. Next to nothing in return. That some see this as good just shows how standards have sunk. The U.S. is now a high tariff protectionist country, 10% is the new baseline, and trade deals are judged not on how much they

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The FTC and Bannon MAGA want to break up big tech and $googl seems the “realistic” target. Just like AT&T/Bell Labs this will be a huge mistake. It almost guarantees China wins in AI.

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

I’m not an fx guy but funny market reaction to this. No US official will ever say they have a weak dollar policy. Market is reacting to “the sky is blue" .

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$Meta revamped FAIR and brought in Robert Fergus to work alongside Yann. Joelle Pineau is gone. So this wsj headline seems like recycled old news.

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

The downgrade is negative for sure. But perhaps the main channel is that it provides fodder for the GOP hawks demanding cuts to Trump’s spending bill. As far as ability for certain players to hold treasuries I’m not sure what the difference is 2 vs 3 below AAA.

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Many folks here too young but back in the day Moody’s used to stamp triple A on super senior tranches of subprime debt that would eventually be wiped out during the GFC.

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Amazing how we went to “pretty confident DOGE will cut a trillion” and “by 2028 we’d be at 3%” to now “lets cut taxes and growth will take care of it”.

Nathan Lambert (@natolambert) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Google's models today are absolutely crushing it today at IO. I'm still not optimistic that competing with ChatGPT is the right play, but I'm happy to see them try. Google cloud to the moon either way.

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Total demand for UST is anywhere from 2-4% of GDP. If we’re running at 6-7% deficits auctions by definition would occasionally tail. This is as true today as in 2023, 2024, 1993-94 etc.

QuantPM (@pmquant) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$AAPL should start “iTravel” offering a service to go to Europe on vacation and come back with an iphone upgrade.