Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile
Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni

@nitherdither

Middle-aged adult regularly bamboozled by reality • Finance is both a profession and a hobby • Shill buster • FAFO aficionado

ID: 1950736147191115777

calendar_today31-07-2025 01:52:05

205 Tweet

241 Followers

105 Following

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Now that Semler Scientific / $SMLR has reached a settlement agreement with the DOJ, it’s worth keeping an eye on them to see if they can break out of the rut they have been stuck in for a while. The price action appears to be basing, and a move above the 20-day SMA would be

Now that Semler Scientific / $SMLR has reached a settlement agreement with the DOJ, it’s worth keeping an eye on them to see if they can break out of the rut they have been stuck in for a while.
 
The price action appears to be basing, and a move above the 20-day SMA would be
Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Dear Michael Saylor , three questions: 1. Have you considered hiring more competent finance professionals/lawyers? 2. Is this why yields are at nosebleed levels, yet these unnecessarily complex products still fail to clear the market? 3. Have you asked ChatGPT how to make mNav go up?

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Michael Saylor Adam Livingston Your "BTC Credit model" is not going to pass muster with rating agencies for a couple of reasons: a) BTC is not pledged and therefore does not qualify as collateral. b) BTC's volatility undermines its suitability as collateral, which your model fails to address. c) The

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

And like clockwork, $BTC continues to follow the liquidity/CB reserve graph. (Last post was 2 weeks ago.) Making $120K-ish the potential top for the next few months, barring a catalyst.

And like clockwork, $BTC continues to follow the liquidity/CB reserve graph. (Last post was 2 weeks ago.)

Making $120K-ish the potential top for the next few months, barring a catalyst.
Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$MTPLF/3350 is halfway through its #Bitcoin purchase with the funds raised from the IO. Expecting a yield of 0.5% (basic) / 8.1% (fully diluted) next week, assuming remaining purchases are completed by then.🫤 Curious to see how much this impacts price action before MSWs

$MTPLF/3350 is halfway through its #Bitcoin purchase with the funds raised from the IO. 

Expecting a yield of 0.5% (basic) / 8.1% (fully diluted) next week, assuming remaining purchases are completed by then.🫤

Curious to see how much this impacts price action before MSWs
Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Quiz time, ladies and gents! $ASST is buying $SMLR at a "210% premium." Yet, SMLR is up only 10%, and ASST is down 5%. Why the lackluster market response? 1⃣ Market is regarded; SMLR FMV is > $90. 2⃣ Eric Semler demanded PIPE pricing cause ASST's FMV is < $1.30. Yummy arb! 😏

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This roundtable was such a breath of fresh air. Balanced, knowledgeable and not pumping anything. Well done, KH , Zynx, and Anders_ ✝️🇩🇰🇺🇸🥩🥩🍸! Quite the contrast to promoters like Natalie Brunell ⚡️ and Tim Kotzman who offer little beyond hosting talking heads who want to pitch

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

A chart that only a mother (or father Simon) could love: • Stuck below every SMA, having completed every death cross possible • Below MSW EP, waiting to get clubbed every time it dares to prairie dogs • Managed a red day on Mon despite a 5K+ BTC buy, and gapped down today 🙄

A chart that only a mother (or father Simon) could love:
• Stuck below every SMA, having completed every death cross possible
• Below MSW EP, waiting to get clubbed every time it dares to prairie dogs
• Managed a red day on Mon despite a 5K+ BTC buy, and gapped down today

🙄
Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

#MetaThought: The brush with reality in the form of BTCTCs has been a "red pill" moment for the orange-pilled. Many now realize: • "Assets" and "capital" are not the same • Neither are "asset appreciation" and "income" • "We're early" is an excuse for poor product-market fit

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Dylan LeClair That's great, Dylan, but: • EVO Fund has loaded up on 30M shares to dump in 3 trading days • Goldman Sachs has doubled their short position to 10M shares • Morgan Stanley has tripled theirs to 15M shares Captures MP's long term promise vs short term headwinds very well, eh.

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

$MSTR is not looking good.. • Below all SMAs • Below 1yr PoC • Trailing BTC strongly (measured as MSTR/IBIT) • Sell-off accompanied by strong volume $240 next?

$MSTR is not looking good.. 
• Below all SMAs
• Below 1yr PoC
• Trailing BTC strongly (measured as MSTR/IBIT)
• Sell-off accompanied by strong volume

$240 next?
Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Thanks for sharing this, Simon (Simon Gerovich)! While all true, I do feel like this misses the key drivers of the share price malaise and so will do little to assuage the market. Especially since there are no concerns about Metaplanet Inc. 's balance sheet that I am aware of. In

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Matt Cole Matt, if people wanted exposure to biotech, they would have bought a biotech stock. Also, SMLR is expecting to lose half its revenue in Q4, which will likely result in negative FCF. To me, this looks like an exit for Eric Semler at PIPE prices, with $ASST left holding his bag.

Obsequious Knight of the Realm of The Ni (@nitherdither) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Eagerly waiting to see if Simon Gerovich extends the suspension on MSW exercises that will otherwise be lifted on Oct 1. 3350 price is currently > 20% below the EP of 637 yen. Without an extension, the anticipated announcement for the remaining 5K BTC will likely be for naught. Why?