After a chilly start, it's going to be a sensational Sunday. Please, do me a personal favor, get out there and enjoy it!

Holy. Cow. 🐮 Is that rain in the forecast? Udderly absurd.

Tropical Storm Francine is expected to impact Middle Tennessee later this week/weekend. Expected rainfall totals range from around 1" along the Cumberland Plateau, to 2-3" across the Nashville Metro Area, to 3-4" in areas near the Tennessee River. Our severe risk is very low.

Currently, forecasted total rainfall amounts associated with expected remanents of Tropical Storm Francine across mid-state region later this week.

Once Francine makes landfall, its remnants will impact Middle TN. Heavy rain and flooding is the main concern, but severe weather including a low tornado threat is possible as well. Main time frame to watch will be Thursday & Friday.

We will soon begin to feel the impacts of Tropical Cyclone Francine. While some hazards may accompany this system, we can also use the rain. And it appears that areas that have been hardest-hit by the recent drought stand to receive the most rainfall during the next several days.

Dry today, but Francine will bring rain to the area starting Thursday. Heaviest rain will be Thu & Fri with totals of 3 to 5 inches along and west of I-65. There is still a low tornado threat, particularly across southwest Middle TN Thu & Fri.

On this date in 1983, Nashville set a record for the latest-ever 100° temperature. (Record was broken on 9/21/2022.) Just eleven days later, we tied the record low for September at 36°. It's still the earliest sub-40° occurrence on record.

With the remnants of Francine approaching, here's a look at what we're expecting from it ⬇️

Heavy rain is still the main impact from this tropical system. Rain will become widespread as the day progresses. Heaviest rain will be today & Friday with totals of 3-5 inches across the west. A Flood Watch is in effect for portions of western Middle TN until Saturday morning.

Soaking rain will be a big relief for drought conditions, especially west of I-65. If too much rain falls too quickly, it could produce localized flooding. Be careful out there, especially at night when water depth is difficult to judge!

Areas west of I-65 have seen the bulk of the rain today with radar estimating around 0.5 to 2 inches. This steady rain is good news for those drought areas in southwest Middle TN. We’ll likely see showers become more patchy through sunrise.

The remnants of tropical storm Francine will bring periods of rain into the weekend. Some of the rain could be heavy today mainly from I-65 west. There is also a low end tornado threat this morning from I-24 west, after this morning the threat for severe weather is low. #TNwx

Rainfall from Francine has been disappointing so far, but we cannot let our guard down yet. Areas south and southwest of Nashville are in a favorable zone for showers and storms this afternoon. Heavy downpours may cause local flooding and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

Scattered showers & an isolated storm or two continue over the mid state this afternoon, but the output from Francine remains a disappointment. Rain chances continue overnight, mainly in areas to the west & south of Nashville. The risk of severe storms at this point is very low.

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY THROUGH 430 PM CDT [wind: 40 MPH, hail: 0.00 IN] mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/p.php?pid=2024…

You have asked. You have pleaded. We have delivered. IN-PERSON basic #SKYWARN spotter classes return to #MiddleTN this fall! Find a class near you here: weather.gov/ohx/skywarn This season's online class schedule is coming soon, too! #tnwx #severewx

Rain chances will continue today. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms can be expected with the best chances from around I-24 west. Similar weather tomorrow but activity will be less widespread. #TNwx