The potential impacts of Hurricane Florence are still over a week away!!! There's is no need for panic right now.

It’s fair to say there is a large spread, but important to note that even with that being the case, most of that spread impacts somewhere along the east coast. 12z ECMWF ensembles with another eerie shift west for #Florence. FL to NE in play for now.

It’s critical time! All model runs coming in today will be critical as data is being digested going forward, cannot he discarded or ignored.

to get caught up, so far tonight, NAM model has heaviest snows setting up just N&W of i95 while the Canadian RGEM plasters i95......gonna be close peeps.

Good night from Fort Myers Florida like, nothing will be the same after tomorrow

This is likely going to be one monster of a storm later this week. Seeing ensemble members between 950-970mb with an ensemble mean of 982mb is absolutely impressive for a 5 day lead time.

close but storm more out then up coast. gfs 500 mb Wed eve. (1) shows the energy rounding the base of the trof (2) Trof neutral. We need this to dig a little more and become a little more negatively tilted.I do believe there will be quite a bit of precip on W side of storm

No storm threat for Thursday, maybe light snow along the coast.

Latest NAM continues to show what is going to be the biggest battle and toughest forecast from southeast PA into northern NJ/NYC: the surface low keeps tracking west, but subsidence/dry air to the west making a very sharp gradient

Dry air mass in place is going to wreck snow hopes west of 95

All in for the coast. Going to be some very unhappy snow lovers west of 95 especially into Philly and south jersey. Very tough forecast.

Not your typical blockbuster winter storm were used to around 95 corridor. Coast will win big in snow totals.

I think the bigger picture for the entire area is post storm this weekend. Going to be a couple of ridiculously cold nights Friday and Saturday. Relief coming early next week.

An impressive period of above normal temperatures is on the way across the Northeast states next week. 7 day average anomalies are well over +5 C across a large area on ECMWF EPS.

12z euro vs 0z at same time. Hr 24 12z

Today is all about banding for those who are looking to push a foot.

Very interesting that short range models have shifted axis of heavy precipitation north from Philly to CNJ/NYC

Still battling a mix here in Philly at the moment

If you enjoy Spring warmth, you’re going to want to avert your eyes. Today’s GEFS continue widespread below normal temperatures after this weekends warmup - through the end of April.