What strategic choices will Washington face in determining its approach toward Moscow after the Russia-Ukraine war ends? And what are the trade-offs associated with those choices? New research: bit.ly/42wls4J

Although there's no end in sight to the Russia-Ukraine war, U.S. policymakers should begin considering postwar Russia strategy now. Our new research explores: bit.ly/49y1Z5P

New Oped with ⁦Jeremy Shapiro⁩: U.S. escalation in #Ukraine needs a plan washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/…

THREAD How much does China spend on defense? A hardy perennial question! US officials and analysts suggest it now exceeds $700B—rapidly approaching the level of the US defense budget. 1/

new article with Miranda Priebe in TWQ addressing the "Will Putin Stop in Ukraine" question. RAND

.@SCharap and I argue that NATO strategy after the Russia- Ukraine War should aim to prevent conflict recurrence and stabilize Russia-NATO relations. NATO should not obsess over a single unlikely scenario: an opportunistic Russian attack on a NATO member. twq.elliott.gwu.edu/files/2024/09/…

A bit more on the argument from my new TWQ piece co-written with Miranda Priebe. Currently paywall-free 1/x twq.elliott.gwu.edu/files/2024/09/…

Fall 2024 issue International Security preview! Jennifer Lind ➡️Bipolarity is Back David C. Logan (davidclogan.bsky.social) ➡️Chinese Views of Strategic Stability J. A. Friedman ➡️U.S. Foreign Policy Miranda Priebe, J. Schuessler, B. Rooney, Jasen Castillo RAND ➡️Competing Visions of Restraint The MIT Press @mitpress.bsky.social

Confused by the grand strategy debate? In International Security, we break down the arguments in favor of a new U.S. approach that emerge from realist, conservative, and progressive ideas. (w/ John Schuessler, Jasen Castillo, & Bryan Rooney) direct.mit.edu/isec/article/4…

5) “Competing Visions of Restraint,” by Miranda Priebe, John Schuessler, Bryan Rooney, Jasen Castillo doi.org/10.1162/isec_a… This article is open access.

If you've heard about RAND's Graduate Student Summer Associate Program and are thinking about applying, I recommend you read testimonials from past participants – many of whom work at RAND today!” Looking forward to receiving your applications: rand.org/summerassociat…

There are competing claims about how reducing U.S. military involvement abroad would affect the behavior of U.S. rivals and allies. To better understand the trade-offs, we examined four historical cases of limited retrenchment. 🧵