The #Houthis will likely emerge from the #Gaza war as a more confident, ambitious, and aggressive terrorist army, writes Michael Knights in a CTC at West Point study. More on the group's current capabilities, strategic intentions, and more: washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…

'U.S. attempts to deter by denial have often yielded to deterrence by punishment, as restraint frequently emboldened Tehran; by practicing both denial and punishment, Washington might more effectively deter and contain Iran,' writes Michael Eisenstadt. washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysi…

Super comprehensive assessment from Michael Knights of Houthi military capabilities:

Well worth a read. whatever bit of the conflict studies world you live in.

This is what's needed increasingly: comparative assessment of capability vs actual threat. Mil balance is always relative. 'Bad' militaries can be good enough for what they face, but if they're not, we need to know that.

A sobering and essential assessment comparing the military strength of al-Shabaab and Somali government forces by Paul D. Williams in the new issue of CTC Sentinel.

April Sentinel analysis: “The State of al-Qa`ida Central” by Kévin Jackson (Kévin Jackson) ctc.westpoint.edu/the-state-of-a…

Pay Attention to Ship Seizures, Not Threats to Close Strait of Hormuz
1/4 In this new INSIGHT, we assess Iran's threats to shipping in the Persian Gulf and the world's most vital chokepoint. The work is in collaboration with the super TankerTrackers.com, Inc.. Here's the link that takes