Whereas the graduate premium has increased in most rich countries, it has plummeted in Britain since 1997. Earnings for British graduates have shrunk (next pic). ->

The graduate premium is falling in the UK but rising in the US. However even if the grad premium was rising everywhere, it still might have nothing to do what students learn at university. It could be the result of the "signal" sent by university attendance - a signal that could

Gorton & Denton is not the 1st time we've had a 3-way LAB-GRN-REF close contest. The 1st occasion was the West England (WECA) Mayor election in May last year won by LAB with <25% of the vote. Here is my thread back then with my forecast, the results & my review of ... /1

If you're flying from Bristol airport, the other toilets are in Yorkshire and the Cotswolds.

My forecast for Gorton & Denton byelection. GRN & REF toss up with GRN marginally ahead on average. GRN 30% (+17) REF 30% (+15) LAB 25% (-25) CON 5% (-3) LD 5% (+1) Others 5% (-5) Changes from GE2024 Model 3 is my provisional model for next general election.

Still waiting for someone who can explain the mystery of the yellow shadow!