Marc Goldwein (@marcgoldwein) 's Twitter Profile
Marc Goldwein

@marcgoldwein

Proud girl-dad. Nonpartisan budget wonk + econ prof. Tweeting less - on fiscal & economic policy & the world. Thoughts are 𝐦𝐲 𝐨𝐰𝐧! Blue check mark.

ID: 420034061

linkhttp://crfb.org calendar_today24-11-2011 03:21:51

112,112K Tweet

19,19K Followers

7,7K Following

Yair Rosenberg (@yair_rosenberg) 's Twitter Profile Photo

"This is the [tunnel] shaft that led to the place where the six hostages were murdered. In a children's room, among paintings of Snow White and Mickey Mouse." Rare look into Hamas's embedding itself into civilian infrastructure:

Marc Goldwein (@marcgoldwein) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨💨Holy Smokes💨🚨 It looks like the Department of Education is trying to sneak student debt cancellation past the courts by starting implementation before they've passed a final rule. This could cost $150 billion or more!! crfb.org/blogs/lawsuit-…

Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) 's Twitter Profile Photo

For anyone who is still interested in the topic here is a nice explainer of the economic issues in how to structure capital gains taxation. Short version: there are sound arguments on multiple sides of this issue.

CRFB.org (@budgethawks) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨 NEW: According to a complaint filed by a coalition of state AGs led by Missouri, the Department of Education is preparing student loan servicers to imminently cancel significant amounts of student debt – an estimated $147 billion or more – under a proposed rule that has not

🚨 NEW: According to a complaint filed by a coalition of state AGs led by Missouri, the Department of Education is preparing student loan servicers to imminently cancel significant amounts of student debt – an estimated $147 billion or more – under a proposed rule that has not
Pavan Venkatakrishnan (@ppavnr) 's Twitter Profile Photo

"Part of being a conservative is accepting that you’re starting from where you’re starting instead of starting where you want to be starting, and we are starting with a disastrous federal budget that is not getting better over time." nationalreview.com/corner/trumps-…

Marc Goldwein (@marcgoldwein) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨 MASSIVE BENEFIT CUTS 🚨 A typical couple faces a $𝟏𝟔,𝟓𝟎𝟎 benefit cut in 2033 if we don’t do something to restore solvency. How is that “protecting” the program? crfb.org/blogs/16500-cu… via CRFB.org

🚨 MASSIVE BENEFIT CUTS 🚨 

A typical couple faces a $𝟏𝟔,𝟓𝟎𝟎 benefit cut in 2033 if we don’t do something to restore solvency.

How is that “protecting” the program?

crfb.org/blogs/16500-cu… via <a href="/BudgetHawks/">CRFB.org</a>
CRFB.org (@budgethawks) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨 NEW #USBW2024 ANALYSIS: $16,500 Cut Awaits Retirees if Social Security Isn't Reformed The Social Security OASI trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033, at which point the law calls for a 21 percent across-the-board benefit reduction. We estimate this would

🚨 NEW #USBW2024 ANALYSIS: $16,500 Cut Awaits Retirees if Social Security Isn't Reformed 
 
The Social Security OASI trust fund is projected to be depleted by 2033, at which point the law calls for a 21 percent across-the-board benefit reduction.
 
We estimate this would
Kylie Ora Lobell (@kylieoralobell) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Daniel Lobell There are good Jews and bad Jews, good Christians and bad Christians, good Muslims and bad Muslims, etc. People are people. We are not perfect. We are not God.

CRFB.org (@budgethawks) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨 NEW #USBW 2024 Analysis: The Kamala Harris Plan for Taxing Capital Income As part of her New Way Forward for Small Businesses, Vice President Kamala Harris recently announced her support for several polices that would increase taxes on capital income, including: ➡️Increasing

🚨 NEW #USBW 2024 Analysis: The Kamala Harris Plan for Taxing Capital Income

As part of her New Way Forward for Small Businesses, Vice President Kamala Harris recently announced her support for several polices that would increase taxes on capital income, including:

➡️Increasing
Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Productivity growth (annual rate): 1 quarter: 2.5% 4 quarters: 2.7% 8 quarters: 2.0% Since 2019-Q4: 1.6% I prefer looking over the full cycle (1.6%) because even 2 years too short, especially when some is bounce back. But hopefully the optimistic recent extrapolation is right.

Productivity growth (annual rate):

1 quarter: 2.5%
4 quarters: 2.7%
8 quarters: 2.0%
Since 2019-Q4: 1.6%

I prefer looking over the full cycle (1.6%) because even 2 years too short, especially when some is bounce back.

But hopefully the optimistic recent extrapolation is right.
Marc Goldwein (@marcgoldwein) 's Twitter Profile Photo

142k net new jobs, mostly in leisure, hospitality, health care, and social assistance. Job gains in construction, but job losses in manufacturing. Graph via Kate Generelli (welcome back!) of CRFB.org

142k net new jobs, mostly in leisure, hospitality, health care, and social assistance.

Job gains in construction, but job losses in manufacturing. 

Graph via <a href="/katekgen/">Kate Generelli</a> (welcome back!) of <a href="/BudgetHawks/">CRFB.org</a>
Jason Furman (@jasonfurman) 's Twitter Profile Photo

And perhaps most important in this report, nominal wage growth is not slowing, in fact, if anything, it has picked up in recent months. This is more like what you would expect to see in a 3.5% inflation economy than the 2.5% inflation economy we think we're in.

And perhaps most important in this report, nominal wage growth is not slowing, in fact, if anything, it has picked up in recent months. This is more like what you would expect to see in a 3.5% inflation economy than the 2.5% inflation economy we think we're in.
Chise (@sailorrooscout) 's Twitter Profile Photo

THIS IS HUGE! Researchers at The University of Texas at Austin have discovered and isolated a broadly neutralizing plasma antibody, known as SC27, which has been shown to neutralize ALL known variants of SARS-CoV-2. Let’s talk about that! 🧵⬇️

Megan McArdle (@asymmetricinfo) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Even if you think it's net good that this happened, the transitions are gnarly, for a bunch of reasons. 1) Debt and pension obligations are a lot easier to handle if total GDP--not just per-capita GDP--is growing. 2) Even per capita GDP probably grows slower in aging societies,

Marc Goldwein (@marcgoldwein) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨Kamala Harris's plan to tax capital income would raise $𝟕𝟓𝟎 𝐭𝐨 $𝟗𝟎𝟎 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧, according to CRFB.org crfb.org/blogs/kamala-h…

Marc Goldwein (@marcgoldwein) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🚨NEW🚨 -- If Donald Trump cuts the corporate tax rate to 15% for domestic production only, it could cost around $𝟐𝟎𝟎 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 over a decade. Cutting for all corporations would $500-$700 billion. crfb.org/blogs/donald-t… via CRFB.org