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My prediction about US-China relations just before the meeting in Geneva: “any progress should be seen as fleeting. The chances of renewed escalation and a drawn-out stalemate are quite high.” foreignpolicy.com/2025/05/09/chi…

Tom Christensen, Columbia University professor, former State Department official, and new CSIS Pritzker Chair, joins The Truth of the Matter to discuss U.S. strategic competition with China and how we should reframe our thinking about it. Listen in: csis.org/podcasts/truth…

Tom, Welcome to CSIS!

Hurray! Now markets can go up for a few hours, then wait for the next piece of news. english.news.cn/20250605/d2d4d…

Excellent testimony by Adam Wolfe for the US-China Economic and Security Review Committee, today in Washington. uscc.gov/sites/default/… Among others, Adam recommends: 1. Do not try to out-China China, but provide targeted support across the innovative supply chain

“China’s found an economic tool that really bites, so the president has got a variety of reasons to frame this in a positive light,” Scott Kennedy told me re: today's Xi-Trump call: foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/05/tru…

“A study of the steel tariffs that Mr. Trump imposed in 2018 found that one year later they had saved 1,000 steel-making jobs — and cost 75,000 others.” nytimes.com/2025/06/06/opi… via @NYTOpinion

“I think they feel they probably figured Trump out and that this is a manageable relationship. If this agreement falls apart again, they know what buttons to push to make the Trump administration take notice.” nytimes.com/2025/06/06/wor… via @NYTimes

“Trump has focused so much on the costs of free-riding by allies that he neglects the fact that the United States gets to drive the bus—& thus pick the destination and the route. Trump does not seem to grasp how American strength lies in interdependence.” reader.foreignaffairs.com/2025/06/02/the…

China fast tracks rare earth export licences for European companies via Financial Times on.ft.com/4kvIiS1

ASML’s CEO Christophe Fouquet has become more outspoken against export controls on China, along with Nvidia’s Jensen Huang: “The people you try to stop will work even harder to be successful. It doesn’t matter how many obstacles you put in the way.” nytimes.com/2025/06/05/tec…

Sharing latest op-ed for Taipei Times/Liberty Times -- Does President Trump seek spheres of influence? Should Taipei be concerned? My take: The world is growing more disordered. It is not dividing into spheres of influence, and it will not any time soon. taipeitimes.com/News/editorial…

#Trade talks started in London, #China state media reports. No other deets yet. China Xinhua News LONDON, June 9 (Xinhua) -- The first meeting of the China-U.S. economic and trade consultation mechanism opened here in London on Monday.

Despite the US’s disinterest in expanding free trade, CSIS colleague Bill Reinsch shows how others are moving forward with liberalization. csis.org/analysis/globa…

“This deal is taped together by the two sides’ leverage over each other, not common principles or shared interests. The chances for further stops and starts are quite high.” cnbc.com/2025/06/11/us-…

Why did China have so much military hardware in its military parade in 2019? Simple: “That is meant to be flashing red lights to the rest of the world, including their adversaries, about China’s capabilities.” nytimes.com/interactive/20…

“This is a Chinese TACO. They have seen him in previous instances back down. They made a calculated gamble that he would back down and he did.” bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

"China previously was only in a position to offer concessions to lower the temperature on tensions. Beijing now can turn the dial both up and down." My latest from Foreign Policy: "Does Xi Have Trump’s Number? - China has come out ahead in recent dealmaking."