Congratulations to my friend and colleague Jonathan N. Katz for receiving the 2024 Political Methodology Career Achievement Award! Well deserved recognition for your intellectual contributions, service to the profession, and of course, mentorship of many @caltech students!

Please join me this Wednesday, August 28, 2024 for the first installment of Office Hours, a webinar series presented by the Caltech 2024 Election Integrity Project. In this inaugural episode, I'll chat with retired Orange County, California Registrar of Voters Neal Kelley on his

Out in Science Advances: The unexpected durability of political animosity around elections. We find that partisans who voted for the winning candidate are no less polarized post-election than those on the losing side. Neil Fasching Yphtach Lelkes Sean Westwood science.org/doi/10.1126/sc…

Hey #APSA2024! Very excited to present some new perspectives on the incumbency advantage in the postwar periods in the U.S. House based on joint work with Jonathan N. Katz and Gary King tomorrow at 8 am in Marriott 410! Hope you can join for a great discussion and panel!

Yes, we are hiring postdocs! We have a broad search this fall, looking to hire scholars who are doing policy-relevant research, in the Caltech LCSSP's theme areas of AI, climate & sustainability, biotechnology, and election/democracy. Please apply, if you have questions DM me.

Caltech invites faculty applications in the areas of Information, Systems, and Computing, broadly construed. applications.caltech.edu/jobs/isc Review of applications will begin Nov 12, but full consideration will be given to all candidates who apply by Dec 13. Caltech is a small

New in JHPE: Phil Hoffman authors a Review Essay -- "The Historical Origins of Economic Growth and Inequality and the Implications for Policy Today" -- in which he covers recent books by Galor, Acemoglu/Simon, and Koyama/Rubin. nowpublishers.com/article/Detail…

My colleague Jonathan N. Katz is going to be giving a talk next week at Caltech about election science! caltechy.org/services-1/the…

New Science Magazine: Public opinion alone won’t save democracy (w/Rocío Titiunik) science.org/doi/10.1126/sc… Key point: "Efforts to promote democracy among the public, though promising, must be paired with institutions that encourage elites to respect democratic norms & practices"

Non-response bias in polling (& panel recruitment) is a serious issue that has gotten worse & likely accounts for polling misses. It also suggests we are getting a misleading picture of partisans & public opinion. Polling at a Crossroads: cambridge.org/core/books/pol…

Call for papers! The Caltech 2024 Election Integrity Project is organizing a conference on Information and Misinformation in Elections. It'll be January 16-17 on the Caltech campus (so the weather will be great). If you are doing research on election information and

Join us tomorrow at 3:15 in Harland Cinema for a conversation with Charles Stewart III and Bernard L. Fraga! Emory Alumni

Do you want to see how much the margin in a pre-election poll can vary based on "reasonable" decisions by a pollster? Check this out: disq.us/t/4rd8rfy

Where not #OpenAccess this issue of Political Analysis is free to read for a limited period from - Political Analysis - Volume 32 - Issue 3 - cup.org/3XVghcG

I've posted some thoughts and facts about election night vote reporting on Election Updates: electionupdates.caltech.edu/2024/10/30/loo…

We've got resources for election officials and stakeholders. #PreventElectionMisinformation #Election2024 youtu.be/oa4DL-q1_YU?si… arxiv.org/abs/2410.19202 protectingtheelection.us/blog-3-1/elect… Trump, Preparing to Challenge the Results, Puts His 2020 Playbook Into Action

My Election 2024 postmortem slide deck is available here. Instructors, feel free to borrow from this with attribution. jvictor.gmu.edu/wp-content/upl…

I'm amused at the apocalyptic claims about how thoroughly demolished the Democrats were when the shift in votes was in the 3 percentage point range. We're living in a time when small changes in mass behavior and attitudes can have big changes in governing institutions. That's a

By my count, 22 states are still doing their initial count of votes, although some are closer to being done than others. (e.g., CA is 86% done; RI is 98% done). Until then, treat turnout analyses carefully.

Congrats, Jonathan N. Katz! caltech.edu/about/news/kat…