JBL (@jblcapital) 's Twitter Profile
JBL

@jblcapital

jblthoughts.substack.com/?utm_source=su…

ID: 1417149761006800905

calendar_today19-07-2021 15:50:18

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Markets celebrated the Iran uncertainty unwind. Too early. A quick US air strike is one scenario. Boots on the ground — which the terrain, the IRGC structure, and 90 million people make almost inevitable if objectives go beyond airfields — is a completely different macro regime.

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TRUMP: "I don't want to brag, but...no other president can do some of the sh*t I'm doing." He is itching to go down in history, this second term is going to be disastrous.

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Their method is to lie and manipulate the charts, print and move in the background - drip feed these “headlines” to produce some excuse/narrative to explain the move. Each leg down in Oil was the same: -SPR -Trump -Chris Wright It’s all controlled and no one cares

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A lot happened over the weekend. Risk assets are in trouble. $HYPE has been my risk-on barometer — the strongest performer in crypto. It topped at $38 and looks set to drop. Gold was flashing liquidity warning signsThu/Fri along with the move in Oil. The Iran situation runs

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You think we have free markets ? - Markets under pressure - Drop a geopolitical headline (Trump/Iran talks) - Iran denies it within minutes - Doesn't matter — algos already ripped 3% - Use the window to print & distribute in the background

You think we have free markets ? 

- Markets under pressure
- Drop a geopolitical headline (Trump/Iran talks)
- Iran denies it within minutes
- Doesn't matter — algos already ripped 3%
- Use the window to print & distribute in the background
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If we get a flash flush into the $3,000's on a liquidity scare, I'm backing up the truck on $PDGC $MAI and physical - Gold going to have a killer decade $20k+

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Sit tight for a flush on the close — next week is going to be a very busy one in markets. ZN — the US long bond — is about to detonate. Something we've been watching for years and the setup has never been cleaner. Liquidity is thin into the close, VIX is tempting fate and BTC is