🇺🇲 2024 GE: ABC/Ipsos [Among likely voters]

🟦 Biden 49% (+4)
🟥 Trump 45%
—
• Adults: Trump 46-44%
• Reg. voters: Biden 46-45%
• Likely voters: Biden 49-45%
—
Fav/unfav
Biden: 40-51 (-11)
Trump: 33-58 (-25)
—
538: #17 (2.8/3.0) | LVs | 4/25-30
abcnews.go.com/Politics/6-mon…

BLOOMBERG: Trump's top candidates for vice president include Vance, Rubio, Burgum, and Scott.

Who do YOU think should be Trump's VP?

Polymarket Trump VP odds

• Tim Scott: 23%
• J.D. Vance: 8% (+3 from April 25)
• Marco Rubio: 8% (+3)
• Elise Stefanik: 6% (-4)
• Ben…

.Polymarket - Montana Senate Odds

🟥 Tim Sheehy 55%
🟦 Jon Tester 45%
—
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election?

🟥 Republican 72%
🟦 Democratic 28%

polymarket.com/elections

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Redfield & Wilton Strategies

🟥 Trump 43% [+2]
🟦 Biden 41% [=]
🟨 RFK Jr. 7% [-2]

[+/- change vs April]
—
#110 (1.8/3.0) | 1,133 LV | May 1
redfieldandwiltonstrategies.com/joe-biden-admi…

🇺🇲 National Poll: Reuters/Ipsos

🟦 Biden 39% [-4]
🟥 Trump 38% [=]
🟨 RFK Jr. 8% [-4]

[+/- change vs March]

538: #17 (2.8/3.0) | April 29-30 | 856 RV
ipsos.com/sites/default/…

🇺🇲 2024 National GE: Rasmussen Reports

🟥 Trump 46% (+10)
🟦 Biden 36%
🟨 RFK Jr 9%
—
🟥 Trump 48% (+12)
🟦 Biden 36%
🟨 RFK Jr 8%
🟨 West 1%
🟩 Stein 1%
—
D35/R33/I32 | 1,205 LV | 4/29-5/1
rasmussenreports.com/public_content…

.Polymarket - Swing States Odds (5/2)

NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 73%
🟦 Biden 27%
.
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump 59%
🟦 Biden 41%
.
WISCONSIN
🟦 Biden 57%
🟥 Trump 43%
.
MICHIGAN
🟦 Biden 56%
🟥 Trump 44%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟦 Biden 55%
🟥 Trump 45%
.
NEVADA
🟦 Biden 55%
🟥 Trump 45%
.…

🇺🇲 NATIONAL POLL: leger

🟥 Trump 41%
🟦 Biden 38%
🟨 RFK Jr 7%
🟩 Stein 2%
🟨 West 1%
—
🟥 Trump 43%
🟦 Biden 42%
🟪 Other 9%
—
538: #79 (2.0/3.0) | 887 LV | 4/26-28
scribd.com/presentation/7…

📊 FiveThirtyEight Polling Average

NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 45.5% (+6.4)
🟦 Biden 39.1%
🟨 RFK Jr 8.8%

NC: May 1, 2020 average: Biden+3
—
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump 45.3% (+5.9)
🟦 Biden 39.4%
🟨 RFK Jr 8.1%

GA: May 1, 2020: Trump+1.4
—
NEVADA
🟥 Trump 42.5% (+5)
🟦 Biden 37.5%
🟨 RFK…

538 Average: Net Approval Ratings at this time (1,198 days) in office.

1. Eisenhower: +52%
2. Nixon: +17.7%
3. Reagan: +17.3%
4. Clinton: +16.5%
5. G.W. Bush: +2.1%
6. Obama: +1.9%
7. Trump: -6.6%
8. Carter: -6.8%
9. Truman: -7.4%
10. H.W. Bush: -11.5%
11. Biden: -17%

187 Days…

🇺🇲 2024 GE: YouGov/Economist

🟥 Trump 44% [+1]
🟦 Biden 43% [=]
🟨 RFK Jr 3%
🟪 Other 2%

• Independents: Trump 41-34%
• 18-29 y/o: Biden 48-27%
• 65+ y/o: Trump 54-38%
• White: Trump 52-37%
• Black: Biden 69-15%
• Hispanic: Biden 43-39%
——
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 44% [=]…

📊 NATIONAL POLL: NPR/Marist

🟦 Biden 50% [-1]
🟥 Trump 48% [=]

Definitely voting
🟦 Biden 52% [-1]
🟥 Trump 47% [=]
——
🟦 Biden 42% [-1]
🟥 Trump 42% [+4]
🟨 RFK Jr 11% [-3]
🟨 West 2% [=]
🟩 Stein 2% [=]

Definitely voting
🟦 Biden 46% [=]
🟥 Trump 43% [+4]
🟨 RFK Jr 8%…

📊 TEXAS POLL: UT/The Texas Politics Project

🟥 Trump 48%
🟦 Biden 40%
🟪 Other 8%
.
🟥 Trump 45%
🟦 Biden 36%
🟨 RFK Jr 8%
🟨 West 2%
🟩 Stein 2%
—
Senate
🟥 Cruz 46%
🟦 Allred 33%
🟪 Other 7%
⬜ Undecided 15%
—
YouGov: #4 (2.9/3.0) | 4/12-22 | 1,200 RV
texaspolitics.utexas.edu/latest-poll

🇺🇲 2024 GE: @MainStResearch/FAU

🟦 Biden 44% (+5)
🟥 Trump 39%
🟨 RFK Jr 11%
🟪 Other 3%
—
Head-to-head
🟦 Biden 47% (+1)
🟥 Trump 46%
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM 43% (+3)
🟥 GOP 40%
—
538: #85 (2.0/3.0) | LVs | 4/26-28
faupolling.com/wp-content/upl…

📊 SENATE POLLING: Emerson/The Hill

Wisconsin
🟦 Baldwin 46%
🟥 Hovde 43%
⬜ Undecided 11%
.
Arizona
🟦 Gallego 45%
🟥 Lake 43%
⬜ Undecided 12%
.
Michigan
🟦 Slotkin 42%
🟥 Rogers 40%
⬜ Undecided 19%
.
Pennsylvania
🟦 Casey 46%
🟥 McCormick 42%
⬜ Undecided 12%
.
Nevada…

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill [with leaners]

WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump 51.6% (+3.2)
🟦 Biden 48.4%
.
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump 52.1% (+4.2)
🟦 Biden 47.9%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 51.2% (+2.4)
🟦 Biden 48.8%
.
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump 52.3% (+4.6)
🟦 Biden 47.7%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 51.9%…

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill

WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump 45% (+5)
🟦 Biden 40%
🟨 RFK Jr 6%
🟪 Other 1%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 45% (+4)
🟦 Biden 41%
🟨 RFK Jr 6%
🟪 Other 2%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 46% (+9)
🟦 Biden 37%
🟨 RFK Jr 6%
🟪 Other 2%
.
NEVADA
🟥 Trump 42% (+5)
🟦 Biden…

🇺🇲 2024 GE: Emerson/The Hill

ARIZONA
🟥 Trump 48% (+4)
🟦 Biden 44%
.
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump 47% (+3)
🟦 Biden 44%
.
WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump 47% (+2)
🟦 Biden 45%
.
PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump 47% (+2)
🟦 Biden 45%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump 47% (+5)
🟦 Biden 42%
.
NEVADA
🟥 Trump 45% (+1)…

📊 Senate Polling: CBS News/YouGov

Wisconsin
🟦 Baldwin 48%
🟥 Hovde 41%
—
Pennsylvania
🟦 Casey 46%
🟥 McCormick 39%
—
538 rank: #4 (2.9/3.0) | LVs | 4/19-25
cbsnews.com/news/democrats…