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It’s official- the new commander of the Russian ground forces is Mordvichev. Previously op group center commander (Donetsk front & longest in post as op group commander). It signals a few things about the next phase for the Russian army 🧵 /1

1/ 🚨 The latest edition of RedHorizon Issue #4 is out now! Spanning 80+ pages, this week’s deep dive covers Ukraine’s corps-level reforms, drone warfare, Russia’s military infrastructure near Finland, and NATO’s rapidly strengthening eastern flank. 2/ 🇺🇦 Ukraine’s “Drone Wall”

"Vous n’avez rien vu, vous n’avez pas vu les Autrichiens à Aspern."

I've seen some criticism of Zaluzhnyi’s recent statement that Ukraine currently lacks the capacity to fully liberate its territories - whether to the 1991 or even the 2022 borders. Overall, I believe it’s a fair and realistic assessment. While many have disagreed, the statement

Here’s a brief update on the situation in Ukraine, focusing on Donbas and the air picture. Over the past week, Russian elements from the 57th and 33rd Motor Rifle Regiments penetrated Ukrainian defensive positions along the TO504 road linking Pokrovsk and Konstantynivka.

There is risk that we are drawing the wrong lessons about capability development from the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Too often, insights are based on narrow anecdotal evidence, limited testing, or outdated capability requirements of the Ukrainian armed forces from 2022 or 2023.

Over the past few months, Russians have focused on disrupting Ukrainian logistics, using a mix of drones, including fiber-optic. Once EW is neutralized or forced to withdraw by fiber-optic drones, it clears the way for drones like the Molniya, which can fly over 20 km. Thread:

During April and May, the Russians formed a dangerous salient against the Ukrainian defenses between Kostiantynivka and Pokrovsk. The so-called spring offensive has progressed relatively quickly, and the situation can develop into a serious issue in the near future. 1/

Ukrainian minister says his country producing 10m drones per year. Drones do 80% of damage in battlefield he says. Ukrainian made FPV IS $500, he says, in contrast to $1,500 for foreign models. Low-cost interceptor drones at $5,000 “affordable alternative” to traditional SAMs.

I’ve paid countless visits to this gas station over the years, eaten numerous Okko dogs from here, refueled and rested. The station was more than a place to fill up; it was a landmark and yet another symbol of Ukrainian resilience and perseverance. It survived several Russian

Very unfortunate if his resignation is accepted. Drapatyi is one of the best commanders in the AFU.

Many a good hot dog was eaten there.